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East Coast Major Storm UpdateA major winter storm is forecast to impact the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast from Sunday, February 22, through Monday, February 23, 2026.A powerful nor’easter is expected to produce widespread snowfall of 1 to 2 feet (12–24 inches) and blizzard conditions along coastal areas, resulting in nearly impossible travel and potential for numerous power outages. Key Weather Hazards
Travel and Safety ImpactsTravel will become treacherous to life-threatening starting Sunday afternoon. Officials have urged residents in major metropolitan areas, including New York City, to stay off the roads. Significant disruptions to travel and infrastructure are likely, including widespread flight cancellations and school closures on Monday. Offshore WatersStorm to Hurricane force winds and seas building up to 9-11 meters within 180-360 nm south of the center during the next 36-48 hours. NOAA US Coastal Waters Forecasts NOAA Weather Prediction Center You’re currently a free subscriber to Fred Pickhardt’s Substack. For the full experience, upgrade your subscription. © 2026 Fred Pickhardt |
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March is one of the most popular months for cruising the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean—and for good reason. It sits right at the sweet spot between winter cold fronts and the start of the wetter summer pattern. For cruisers, that means comfortable temperatures, manageable seas, and very low risk of tropical weather… ![]() Continue reading this post for free in the Substack app© 2026 Fred Pickhardt |
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A 1000 mb low at 36N 72W is moving NE at 25 knots with winds up to 45 knots and 5-meter seas. Within the next 30 hours the storm center will intensify significantly, with central pressure dropping to 966 mb. Winds will reach 55 to 70 knots with seas building 8 to 13 meters (approx. 26 to 43 feet) within 180 nm south of the low center. You’re currently a free subscriber to Fred Pickhardt’s Substack. |
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There is a risk for severe weather across the Southeast through Sunday due to severe thunderstorms with potentially damaging gusty winds and a few possible tornadoes, particularly across northern Florida and Georgia, including the adjacent coastal waters. There is a 5 to 15% risk for wind gusts in thunderstorms to exceed 50 knots producing Hazardous sea conditions over the coastal waters of parts of Florida and Georgia. You’re currently a free subscriber to Fred Pickhardt’s Substack. For the full experience, upgrade your subscription. © 2026 Fred Pickhardt |
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A strong storm system is making its way across the South and East, bringing a threat of severe weather and localized flooding through Monday morning. For Saturday and Sunday, February 14-15th, the Storm Prediction Center indicates a 5-15% risk of severe thunderstorms capable of producing wind gusts of 50 knots or higher for the adjacent marine areas of the Gulf and portions of the coastal waters of Georgia and northern Florida.
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Severe weather is expected to impact the Southern U.S. from Saturday, February 14 (Valentine’s Day) into early Sunday morning. A potent storm system moving from the Southern Plains toward the Mississippi Valley will trigger multiple hazards across the region. There will be at least a 15% probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher in the coastal waters of northeastern Texas to the coast of central Louisiana. |
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A powerful winter storm, forecast to intensify into a “bomb cyclone,” is expected to create dangerous marine conditions along the US East Coast and Western Atlantic from Saturday through Monday… ![]() Continue reading this post for free in the Substack app© 2026 Fred Pickhardt |
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Antarctica is 98% ice covered and contains 90 percent of Earth’s total ice volume. Melting ice is limited mainly to West Antarctica which is offset by ice mass gains over the remainder of Antarctica. The mass of the Antarctic ice sheet has changed over the last decades. Research based on observations from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites (2002-2025) and GRACE Follow-On (since 2018) indicates that between 2002 and 2025, Antarctica shed approximately 135 gigatons of ice per year, causing global sea level to rise by 0.4 millimeters per year. Since 2020, however, the Antarctic has seen little or no ice mass loss.
At this rate, an additional 28 mm (1.1 inches) of sea level rise can be anticipated by 2100. If the Antarctic ice melt would triple between now and 2100 we should expect an additional 42 mm (1.7 inches) of sea level rise due to Antarctic melt. Forensic Marine Weather Expert
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