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Link to article: https://www.news4jax.com/weather/2025/09/08/king-tide-season-starts-this-week-when-to-expect-the-highest-high-tide-of-the-month/

JACKSONVILLE, FLA – It’s that time during the start of fall when the highest tides of the year impact our area.
King tides are the extreme high tides that occur when the gravitational forces of the sun and moon align, resulting in the highest possible tides of the year.
Fall is prime time for these astronomical events in our region, with late September through November delivering the most pronounced tidal swings. These amplify flooding risk in low-lying areas—especially in coastal zones and the St. Johns.
This year’s Harvest Moon, rising closest to the autumnal equinox, adds extra lunar gravitational pull, supercharging tidal peaks. It will coincide with a developing nor’easter that is pushing water into the river from the onshore flow, resulting in tidally trapped water that I discussed last week.
Know Your High Tide Times: Be aware of when high tide is for your specific area so you know when to expect the highest water levels.
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Hurricanes are a part of life for coastal communities, but what happens when the storms we thought we understood get a whole lot worse? Recently, a 2024 study in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences proposed something that might seem shocking: a new Category 6 for the most intense tropical cyclones, with wind speeds starting at 193 mph. At first glance, this might seem like a natural step in the face of increasingly severe weather driven by climate change. But a closer look reveals a deeper conversation with a surprising twist: some experts say a new category might not actually help. Current Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale The case for Category 6 Researchers behind the 2024 study argue that the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, which currently maxes out at Category 5 (for any storm with sustained winds of 157 mph or greater), is no longer sufficient. Their motivation is to more accurately communicate the extreme risks associated with today’s most powerful storms. If a Category 6 were adopted, it would be reserved for the most extreme events. In fact, based on data from 1980 to 2021, the 2024 study identified five storms that would have met the criteria:
The argument against a new category Despite the scientific motivation, the National Hurricane Center has not adopted Category 6, citing concerns that it could complicate public messaging.
It’s also important to note that the Saffir-Simpson scale is currently only used for hurricanes in the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific and 4 of the 5 noted storms in the study occurred in the western North Pacific and only one occurred in the eastern Pacific. To date, there have been no storms in the Atlantic that would have reached this level. Global activity vs. increasing intensity. So, what about climate change’s role in all of this? While you might assume we are seeing an overall increase in hurricane frequency, the reality is more nuanced. Data from climate scientist Ryan Maue, featured on climatlas.com/tropical, reveals no significant global trend in the number of hurricanes or major hurricanes over the long term. In fact, Maue has highlighted periods of notably low global hurricane activity. A 2022 study also found a decreasing trend in global hurricane numbers from 1990 to 2021. The real story isn’t about more storms, but stronger ones. Climate change could fuel future more destructive hurricanes with stronger winds, higher storm surges, and heavier rainfall. Warmer ocean temperatures provide more energy for storms. This supercharges the storms, leading to increased intensity. Time will tell. What does this mean for us? The debate over Category 6 highlights a critical challenge: how do we best communicate the evolving risks of climate change? While adding a new category might sound alarming, it could also provide a more accurate picture of the intensity of a small minority of intense storms. For the Atlantic and East Pacific basins where the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale is used, there has only been one storm that reached this category in the eastern Pacific, and none have yet reached this level in the Atlantic.
Fred Pickhardt’s Substack is free today. But if you enjoyed this post, you can tell Fred Pickhardt’s Substack that their writing is valuable by pledging a future subscription. You won’t be charged unless they enable payments. © 2025 Fred Pickhardt |
This post contains interesting information for any U.S.-registered boat, especially if you are considering traveling to Cuba.
Cruisers Net publishes Loose Cannon articles with Captain Swanson’s permission in hopes that mariners with salt water in their veins will subscribe. $7 a month or $56 for the year, and you may cancel at any time.
When all else fails, try journalism. Third Woman Has Died in Latest Sea-Doo Switch Accident, Another Forward FlipMaine Officials Promise ‘Thorough Investigation’A third person has died in the latest example of a Sea-Doo Switch flipping forward with awful consequences. This time, it happened on a lake in Maine, and this time it involved an 18-foot model, not a 13-footer. And, this time, the hybrid jetski-pontoon craft was not operating at or over capacity. That is, there were seven people onboard while the posted capacity is eight people (or 1,155 pounds). Here’s how Maine’s Inland Fisheries & Wildlife Department, which is investigating the accident, described events:
According to an employee at the Eustis campground, campers rushed out to save passengers who had become trapped—as in prior accidents—underneath the overturned Switch. Fisheries & Wildlife spokesman Mark Latti would not confirm that, saying he would wait for investigators to make the determination. John Morris, who can be described as an outdoorsman, did not respond to a text message. According to Inland Fisheries & Wildlife, alcohol is not believed to be a factor in the accident. Two of the passengers were pronounced dead at the scene—Farhana Nasir, 53, of Selden, New York and Kiran Akbar, 23, of Lake Grove, New York. The third victim, Noor Nasir, 22, also of New York was airlifted to Northern Light Eastern Maine Medical Center in Bangor, where she died early Wednesday. CPR had been performed on all three at the scene, but they were not responsive, according to Inland Fisheries & Wildlife. Latti would not say how Morris “attempted to raise the bow” once it began to go underwater, nor would he confirm whether the vessel was going slowly or decelerating, as was the case in 2024 Switch accidents in Virginia and Florida. He did say weather and lake conditions were not believed to be a factor. Morris may indeed have been decelerating or driving slowly, however, given that he was passing in front of the Cathedral Pines Campground swimming area, and the boat was within Maine’s standing no-wake zone, which extends 200 feet from shore. The Virginia accident took the life of a nine-year-old girl on Fourth of July, 2024 when the family’s 13-foot Switch overturned. Then, on Labor Day weekend 2024, a similar forward flip caused a 15-month-old Florida girl to nearly drown, leaving her with a lifelong “catastrophic anoxic brain injury.” The Inland Fisheries & Wildlife news release answered a standard question raised by any boating accident: Were the people on board wearing lifejackets? In the Maine case, the answer was no. But it is worth noting that in both the Virginia and Florida accidents, the girls were wearing lifejackets, and that fact actually proved detrimental. Both were pinned to the floor of the overturned Switch by their buoyancy, making rescue more difficult and time consuming. The Virginia family appears to have reached an out-of-court settlement with Switch manufacturer BRP. The William Grullon has filed a $30 million lawsuit against BRP, which is winding its way through Circuit Court in Jacksonville, Florida. “They have a lot of explaining to do. So very sad for these families. This thing (the Switch) is like the Ford Pinto,” said Grullon lawyer Judd Rosen, responding to the latest accident. (The Pinto was a subcompact 1970s car that was the subject of 117 lawsuits alleging that a design defect allowed its gas tank to catch fire or explode even in low-impact rear-end collisions.)
Writing in the Grullon lawsuit against BRP, Rosen blamed water intrusion in the outer pontoons for Switch nosedives when decelerating:
This argument had echoed a theory advanced in Loose Cannon’s very first article on the Switch phenomenon:
In February, BRP announced a safety recall of all Switch models. “Improper distribution of passengers and cargo weight could overload the front of the watercraft and cause instability, nosediving and possibly lead to capsizing,” Sea-Doo said in the recall notice. “The condition worsens if water evacuation from the hull is not optimal. This could cause serious injuries or even death.” The recall involved affixing a label warning against overloading the bow, and, according to owners on Facebook, the application of caulking on the outer hulls. BRP has also issued a new training video and updated the Switch manual, urging owners to review both. At one point, the manual warned owners not to try powering out of a nosedive, saying that accelerating would tend to plunge the bow down further. The Switch in the Eustis accident was purchased in 2024 before the recall. Latti said investigators would determine whether it had undergone the recall work. Latti also said his department’s investigators would not limit their inquiry to questions of human culpability but would report on whether they believed design factors contributed to the accident. “There will be a very thorough investigation, and then we’ll do what we always do and sit down with the district attorney and determine any charges,” Latti said. LOOSE CANNON covers hard news, technical issues and nautical history. Sometimes he tries to be funny. Subscribe for free to support the work. If you’ve been reading for a while—and you like it—consider upgrading to paid.
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This post contains interesting information for any U.S.-registered boat, especially if you are considering traveling to Cuba.
Cruisers Net publishes Loose Cannon articles with Captain Swanson’s permission in hopes that mariners with salt water in their veins will subscribe. $7 a month or $56 for the year, and you may cancel at any time.
When all else fails, try journalism. Hallelujah! Fuel Spills Subside at Caribbean Hurricane HoleLeaky Fishing Fleet Finally Leaves Luperon Bay, a Wildlife RefugeI started to write this story about Luperon Bay in the Dominican Republic two Mondays ago, but at 7:30 a.m. I got the message that Fernando Capellan’s luxury catamaran was destroyed by lightning. That news changed the focus of my workday, as you can see:
The story I had been about to publish was actually good news for this popular hurricane refuge, and the fiery doom of Capi IV, herself docked at Luperon, did not really fit that narrative. The good news: Luperon Bay appears to have turned the corner regarding it’s chronic petroleum spills. This slow-motion environmental disaster had begun sometime after 2021, when Dominican authorities exiled Puerto Plata’s ramshackle fishing fleet so as not to spoil the view for cruise ship guests arriving at the city’s newly opened Taino Bay cruiseship port. This was the very definition of a Faustian bargain: Send your fishing fleet to a designated national wildlife refuge to spare American tourists the sight of rusting hulls and petroleum sheens near the cruise ship dock. After the move, fuel spills became a regular occurrence in Luperon Bay, often saturating the air with a smell of petroleum strong enough at times to wake members of the foreign sailboat population from a deep sleep.
American Captain Liza Hash, former master of a dive boat, is serving three years in U.S. federal prison right now for pumping her oily bilge overboard at sea, not in a wildlife refuge. There was no corresponding law enforcement effort to combat multiple offenses in Luperon, even though Dominican laws are similar. The elephant in the room was the fact that some number of the fishing fleet—25 or so boats at its height—were controlled by members of a drug cartel. Apparently, this had a paralyzing effect on local officialdom. Once the principals were arrested as part of “Operation Buffalo NK” in September 2024, three of the fishing boats under their control were seized and today remain in Luperon Bay tied to mangroves.
At the same time, the fleet was shrinking because of what could be described as a Darwin factor. Beginning in May 2023, five fishing boats were destroyed by fire attributed to careless fuel handling, not including a boat damaged and its crewman killed by an explosion caused by him cleaning the engine with gasoline. And then, recently, the rest of the fleet just went away—no official statement or fanfare. Spills have stopped (except for that one time when a salvage boat was being refueled at the government dock during the effort to remove the sunken hulks of the burnt vessels). According to a source, the next water-quality challenge will be to connect more homes in this village of about 17,000 people to its sewage treatment plant, operational since January 2021 but never built out fully. LOOSE CANNON covers hard news, technical issues and nautical history. Sometimes he tries to be funny. Subscribe for free to support the work. If you’ve been reading for a while—and you like it—consider upgrading to paid.
You’re currently a free subscriber to LOOSE CANNON. For the full experience, upgrade your subscription. © 2025 |
An Evening at McLeod – Sept 28 – Charleston County Parks
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What’s Happening In Your Parks during September – Charleston County Parks
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Cruisers’ Net Newsletter for this week has just been emailed via Constant Contact.
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Trick, Treat & Trail Family Fun Run and Festival on Oct. 25
Get in the Halloween spirit with a fun-filled event for the whole family!
From: Sarah Reynolds <Sarah.Reynolds@ccprc.com>
Date: August 25, 2025 at 1:00:00 PM EDT
To: Sarah Reynolds <Sarah.Reynolds@ccprc.com>
Subject: Trick, Treat & Trail set for Oct. 25: Family Fun Run and Festival at Wannamaker County Park
NEWS RELEASE
Public Contact: 843-795-4386 / www.charlestoncountyparks.com
Media Contact: Sarah Reynolds / (843) 762-8089 / sarah.reynolds@ccprc.com
Read this online: www.ccprc.com/newsreleases
Trick, Treat & Trail Family Fun Run and Festival on Oct. 25
Get in the Halloween spirit with a fun-filled event for the whole family!
{NORTH CHARLESTON} — Get ready for a spook-tacular time at the second annual Trick, Treat & Trail Family Fun Run and Festival! Hosted by Charleston County Parks, the event will be held on Saturday, Oct. 25, beginning at 10 a.m., at Wannamaker County Park.
The festival includes ghoulish music, trick-or-treating, jump castles, face painting, and a craft. A variety of vendors will be on site selling food and refreshments, including King of Pops, Donut Daddy, Miracle’s Tasty Express, and Sweet But Not So Sweet.
Check-in for the event and trick-or-treat bag distribution will be held from 9 a.m. – 12 p.m. at the Tupelo Shelter at Wannamaker County Park. The fun run begins at 10 a.m. The course closes for runners at 10:45 a.m. The course will re-open for trick or treating from 11 a.m. – 1 p.m. The Festival will be open for the entirety of the event 10 a.m. – 1 p.m. A costume contest will be held at 12:15 p.m. Registration includes a custom trick-or-treating bag, finisher medal, and candy.
Participants are invited to dress in costume. Prizes will be awarded for the best Halloween costume in the following age categories: Under 6, 6-8, 9-10, 11-15, 16-20, and 20 and up. Awards will also be presented for the best pet costume, best duo costume, and best group costumes of 3 or more. The costume contest will be held shortly after noon.
Admission to the race and event will be charged per vehicle of up to 15 people. Advance registration is $20 per vehicle and ends Wednesday, Oct. 23. If not sold out, registration will be available on-site for $25 per vehicle only until 12 p.m. Advance registration is recommended. Register for the event on the event webpage at https://www.ccprc.com/3715/Trick-Treat-Trail.
The fun run is open to runners and walkers of all levels, including beginners. Accessible parking and restrooms are available. The route includes a grass meadow and paved trails. This is a loop course with water stations and an optional shortcut route. Dogs are allowed at this event but must remain leashed and under control at all times.
This event is hosted by Charleston County Parks. For more information about this event and to register, please visit https://www.ccprc.com/3715/Trick-Treat-Trail or call (843)-795-4386.
Owned by the Charleston County Park and Recreation Commission, Wannamaker County Park is located at 8888 University Boulevard in North Charleston, SC (Hwy 78). The mission of CCPRC is to improve the quality of life in Charleston County by offering a diverse system of park facilities, programs and services. The large park system features over 11,000 acres of property and includes four land parks, three beach parks, three dog parks, a skate park, two landmark fishing piers, three waterparks, 19 boat landings, a climbing wall, a challenge course, an interpretive center, a historic plantation site, an equestrian center, cottages, a campground, a marina, as well as wedding, meeting and event facilities. The park system also offers a wide variety of recreational services – festivals, camps, classes, programs, volunteer opportunities, and more. For more information, call 843-795-4386 or visit www.charlestoncountyparks.com.
Charleston County Park & Recreation Commission / 861 Riverland Dr. / Charleston, SC 29412 / (843) 795-4386
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This post contains interesting information for any U.S.-registered boat, especially if you are considering traveling to Cuba.
Cruisers Net publishes Loose Cannon articles with Captain Swanson’s permission in hopes that mariners with salt water in their veins will subscribe. $7 a month or $56 for the year, and you may cancel at any time.
When all else fails, try journalism. This is a weird one. The Coast Guard pulled a U.K. citizen named Miles Connors off a sailboat 40 miles south of Florida, brought him back to the U.S. and then charged him with being in the country illegally. According to the federal criminal complaint against Connors, investigators found that Connors had been in the country illegally before sailing aboard Stormy Weather with two other people, bound for Cuba. The two other people were identified only as S.V. and A.A. in court documents. Stormy Weather is a Florida registered boat owned by S.V., a Canadian who had entered the U.S. in July “on a valid non-immigrant B2 visa.” A.A. was captain of the vessel, described as a Russian-born U.S. citizen. Connors, according to the complaint, “had several previous interactions with U.S. Immigration authorities,” beginning in 2006. His first deportation happened in 2008 at a port of entry in northern New York. The complaint picks up the narrative:
The encounter with the Coast Guard happened at 11 a.m. on August 20 about 40 miles south of Marathon, Florida, the boat’s departure point. The Coast Guard was able to terminate the voyage and seize the vessel—at least temporarily—because it was determined that it did not have a Coast Guard permit to enter Cuba or Cuban territorial waters. All three people were taken aboard the Cutter Maple, which proceeded to tow Stormy Weather back to Marathon. The boat’s Florida registry—a U.S. vessel—gives the Coast Guard jurisdiction over her anywhere in the world, even though the owner is Canadian. (This should provide an example to those readers who continue to insist, contrary to all public information on the issue, that Americans can legally travel by boat to Cuba. Coast Guard form 3300 “permit to enter Cuban territorial waters” may exist, but Coast Guard officers have been instructed not to approve any 3300 application, as doing so would be contrary to U.S. foreign policy. You can’t get a permit, and going without a permit is unlawful, as the crew of Stormy Weather has learned.) So, according to court documents, Connors had left but was brought back to face charges that he had been in the U.S. illegally before he left. Connors faces up to two years in prison for illegal reentry into the U.S. The documents don’t say what penalties, if any, S.V. and A.A. may face. They were given Miranda warnings while being interviewed. If you know these people, please share their names so we can get some more answers. LOOSE CANNON covers hard news, technical issues and nautical history. Every so often he tries to be funny. Subscribe for free to support the work. If you’ve been reading for a while—and you like it—consider upgrading to paid. You’re currently a free subscriber to LOOSE CANNON. For the full experience, upgrade your subscription. |
Makers Air and Staniel Cay Yacht Club, A CRUISERS NET SPONSOR, offer convenient flights to the Bahamas.
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What’s Happening In Your Parks Aug/Sept – Charleston County Parks
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Elizabeth City sits at the southern terminus of the Dismal Swamp Canal and has the well-earned reputation of being a transient friendly town with free dockage for 72 hours.
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Cruisers’ Net Newsletter for this week has just been emailed via Constant Contact.
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Cruisers Net publishes Loose Cannon articles with Captain Swanson’s permission in hopes that mariners with salt water in their veins will subscribe. $7 a month or $56 for the year, and you may cancel at any time.
When all else fails, try journalism. Jetski/Pontoon Maker Appears To Have Settled in Virginia DeathFlorida Case Continues, as Facebook Scrubbed of Other Sea-Doo Stories
At one point, the death of Neeya Hussain was going to become a nationwide “class-action lawsuit,” according to the family’s lawyer, Emily Mapp Brannon. That was in October 2024, a few months after the nine-year-old was killed when the Hussain’s Sea-Doo Switch flipped over on a Virginia Lake on the Fourth of July. Now, Brannon isn’t talking, except to say: “You are not permitted to call my client. We are also not permitted to discuss this matter. There is no comment.” Client Nadim Hussain, who is 40, did not respond to a text. “This is confidential information and we are not commenting on such topics publicly,” said Emilie Proulx, spokesperson for BRP, the Canadian manufacturer of the Switch, the hybrid jetski-pontoon boat in question. Sounds like things people say when they’ve reached an out-of-court cash settlement, no? When Loose Cannon first published stories about Neeya’s death on Lake Anna and a similar accident that has incapacitated a Florida toddler for life, Switch owners on Facebook reacted by sharing their stories of having flipped or almost flipping when they too had suddently decelerated. Those Facebook threads are gone, having apparently been scrubbed. (Pro tip: Don’t assume “saving” a Facebook post is permanent. For a permanent record, take screenshots of the commentary or convert it to PDF format instead. Ask me how I know. Those “saved threads” have all been replaced by markers labeled “content not available.”) Luigi Bazzani is an investigator working for the Miami law firm Goldberg and Rosen, which represents the family of 28-month-old Vianca Grullon in a $30 million lawsuit against BRP. She nearly died when her family’s Switch flipped over forward on the St. Johns River in Florida over Labor Day Weekend a year ago. Bazzani is trying to find owners such as those who told their (now disappeared) Switch stories on Facebook or anyone else who recalls flipping or almost flipping the same model of jet-powered Sea-Doo watercraft. (Bazzani can be reached at 305-219-8840. His email is bazzani@me.com) SOME EARLIER STORIES
LOOSE CANNON covers hard news, technical issues and nautical history. Subscribe for free to support the work. If you’ve been reading for a while—and you like it—consider upgrading to paid.
You’re currently a free subscriber to LOOSE CANNON. For the full experience, upgrade your subscription. © 2025 |
Cruisers Net publishes Loose Cannon articles with Captain Swanson’s permission in hopes that mariners with salt water in their veins will subscribe. $7 a month or $56 for the year, and you may cancel at any time.
Bonus for Premium Readers: Will Walk Your DogCancel the Post, Toss the Times, Support a Nautical News Hound InsteadDear Readers, History, humor and hard news—it’s been another busy couple of months at the Loose Cannon one-man media empire. Subscriptions keep growing, though the free people continue to outpace the paying ones by a lot. Alas. So, today’s message is a sales pitch. Please be like Ginger Clark, who wrote this:
Or Richard Wingfield:
Or Richard Simpson:
Or Andre Cocquyt:
Or Scott Marquis:
Addison Chan is the author of Bahamas and Cuba cruising guides, plus the Bahamas Land & Sea Facebook Page. He said nice things too:
Speaking of dogs, don’t forget the extra-special bonus available only to paying subscribers. If you come to our world headquarters in Green Cove Springs, Florida, I promise to walk your dog. Who doesn’t like dogs? Maybe, I will use your money to get a boat dog of my own. It’s about time. LOOSE CANNON covers hard news, technical issues and nautical history. Subscribe for free to support the work. If you’ve been reading for a while—and you like it—consider upgrading to paid.
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