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    • AIWA Newsletter, October 2026

      Cruisers Net is proud to be a member of the Atlantic Intracoastal Waterway Association, whose lobbying work is crucial to keeping the Waterway navigable and safe. Your membership dollars directly support their vital work. Please join and encourage your boating neighbors to do the same, regardless of their home port.

       

      AIWA Annual Meeting in Atlantic Beach, Florida
      The AIWA Annual Meeting is six weeks away! Join us to learn from a distinguished group of speakers, and network with fellow waterway stakeholders. In addition to confirmed speakers, we are expecting leaders from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), U.S. Coast Guard, U.S. DOT Maritime Administration, and NOAA.

      The program is available and includes:

      • State of the Waterway presentations of recently completed projects and upcoming projects for all USACE Districts along the waterway in 2027
      • Updates from our federal partners at the U.S. Coast Guard, Maritime Administration and National Ocean Service
      • A View from Washington, D.C. and the Waterway Access Initiative led by the National Marine Manufacturers Association
      • A deep dive into beneficial use of sediment with success stories and emerging technologies
      • Changes in Contracting for Federal Dredging Projects
      • Emerging technologies and solutions
      • and the kickoff event for Florida Inland Navigation District (FIND) 100th year in 2027!

      Registration: Early rate ends October 19.
      Visit https://atlanticintracoastal.org/2026-annual-meeting. 

      Hotel: Group rate of $294 per night (inclusive of all taxes and fees) ends October 19. 
      Visit this booking link for the Dune House in Atlantic Beach, Florida. 

      Sponsorships: Sponsor opportunities are still available! Visit the conference webpage.  

       
      We are pleased to highlight corporate member and sponsor of the Annual Meeting, Brennan & Company. We asked Brennan & Company to share a brief introduction, as they are a preferred insurance provider for many of our commercial stakeholders. Learn more about Brennan & Company, and make sure to connect with Owen Brennan in Atlantic Beach. 


      With decades of marine insurance experience and strong relationships with leading marine insurance carriers, Brennan & Company develops customized insurance programs designed to protect dredging contractors, terminal operators, tug and barge operators, marine construction, shipyards, marinas and many other waterfront businesses. The firm’s approach combines industry knowledge, responsive service, risk management guidance, and in-house claims support.

      As a preferred insurance provider for the Atlantic Intracoastal Waterway Association (AIWA), Brennan & Company is proud to support the organizations and professionals who keep our nation’s waterways safe, productive, and moving.
      For more information, visit www.brennan-and-company.com or contact the team at
      (912) 650-3980.
       
      The AIWA Commercial Operator and Corporate Member Stakeholder Group next meeting is October 15 at 10:00 am eastern.

      Please contact Brad Pickel at brad.pickel@atlanticintracoastal.net to get connected to this impactful group.

       
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      Copyright © 2026. Atlantic Intracoastal Waterway Association. All rights reserved.

      The AIWA is a national non-profit organization with the mission of securing funding and support for the maintenance of the Atlantic Intracoastal Waterway. We are the only organization dedicated to ensuring the future of the AIWW and proudly represent all stakeholders of the waterway. 

      Contact:
      Atlantic Intracoastal Waterway Association
      5a Market |  Beaufort, SC 29906
      (843) 379-1151 |  atlanticintracoastal.org
       

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      Atlantic Intracoastal Waterway Association · 5A Market · Beaufort, SC 29906-9107 · USA

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    • Harbormaster Day is October 8th – US Harbors Newsletter

      Here is an informative newsletter to which you may subscribe. Its abundant harbor information will be useful as you travel the East Coast this fall, by boat or by car.

      Harbormaster Day – October 8th

      Thursday, October 8, is National Harbormaster Appreciation Day. When a storm like this recent nor’easter comes through, harbormasters are the ones checking moorings before it arrives, answering calls while it’s here, and sorting out the damage once it’s gone. Most of them won’t ask for thanks. So this October, stop by your harbormaster’s office, or send a note, and share a story about your harbormaster. They’ve earned it.

      — Jamie and the US Harbors Crew

       

      October 2026

       

      ​

       
       

       
       

       

      Hello,

      Ask any harbormaster and they’ll tell you a storm plan has three distinct phases: preparation, adaptation, and restoration. Making proper preparations while a storm is days away is essential to minimizing damage, but adapting to a changing storm track can be even more important — it’s that resiliency that gets mariners back on course. And swiftly restoring any damaged infrastructure or equipment is what differentiates a major disaster from a minor inconvenience.
      ​
      These three phases were on full display over the weekend of September 25–27, when a rare early-season nor’easter swept up the East Coast and impacted harbors across the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England. US Harbors was there through the storm providing boaters and other coastal residents with the data and resources necessary for managing each of the storm’s three phases. Whether it was NOAA’s marine and onshore forecasts critical for developing a storm plan or the real-time buoy reports that showed those in the path of the storm how reality lined up with the predictions, the data on our coastal intelligence platform helped people make sound decisions. And when the storm passed, the local business members on US Harbors helped get people back on track, whether they needed the nearest TraveLift for an emergency haul-out or a marine electrician to troubleshoot a soggy VHF.

      Walking on the Breakwater, Rockland, Maine with high winds and high tides
      during the September 2026 nor’easter storm. Photo by Stacey Keefer

      In the Pacific, Hurricane Nolo passed south of Hawaii’s Big Island in late September, bringing heavy rain, high surf and wind gusts of 60 to 80 mph to parts of Maui, Hawaii and Honolulu counties. Nolo never made landfall, but schools and government offices closed on the Big Island and Maui, shelters opened, and flights were canceled at Hilo. The Hawaiian Islands often appear on our Monthly High Tide Flooding Outlook, where high tides and low elevation can mean frequent flooding. Knowing those dates ahead of time is part of being ready when a storm like Nolo approaches.

      Hurricane Nolo approaching Hawaii’s Big Island in late September, as seen on the advanced radar map launching later this year with US Harbors Membership. The shaded cone shows the storm’s projected path, and the highlighted areas show where watches and warnings were in effect. Weather map powered by Xweather.

      Send us a note and let us know how our data helped you, and tell us if there’s anything more we can add to our coastal intelligence platform to make it even better for all of us.

      Harbormaster Day – October 8th

      Thursday, October 8, is National Harbormaster Appreciation Day. When a storm like this recent nor’easter comes through, harbormasters are the ones checking moorings before it arrives, answering calls while it’s here, and sorting out the damage once it’s gone. Most of them won’t ask for thanks. So this October, stop by your harbormaster’s office, or send a note, and share a story about your harbormaster. They’ve earned it.

      — Jamie and the US Harbors Crew

       

        

       

      October High Tide Flooding Report: October 2026

      Seasonally higher sea levels carry into October, and this month higher tides can be expected around the new moon on October 10 and the full moon on the night of October 25–26. Expect the elevated water levels to persist for a day or two after each. The full moon window is the one to watch, with most harbors seeing their highest flood likelihood between October 26 and 29. Using the National Ocean Service’s minor flooding threshold, measured against the Mean Higher High Water datum, 43 harbors show some chance of flooding this month, up from 25 in September, and every coastal region in the outlook is represented. Twenty harbors reach a Medium Chance (a 20–60% likelihood), including most of the Mid-Atlantic coast. The Southeast, the upper Texas coast, Hawaii’s Big Island, and western Long Island Sound have the highest individual likelihoods, between 40 and 60% around the full moon. The rest of the Northeast and Gulf Coast see mostly a Slight Chance (5–20%), and the West Coast, quiet in September, has harbors on the list from Southern California to Washington.
      ​
      We use the NOS minor threshold as our benchmark, as we have in previous reports, because its nationally consistent formula makes it the best basis for comparing flooding risk from one harbor to the next. Each harbor is rated by its highest daily flood likelihood for the month, using the National Ocean Service’s threshold levels:

      • Least Chance: below 5%
      • Slight Chance: 5–20%
      • Medium Chance: 20–60%
      • Greatest Chance: over 60%

      The report can also be generated using the NWS minor threshold, which local forecasters and emergency managers calibrate to reflect where flooding causes problems in a specific community. NWS minor is not available at every station.
      ​
      NOAA predicts that flooding is either unlikely in other harbors, or else it does not have a sufficiently validated model to make an accurate prediction (or the local topography makes such a prediction impossible).

      VIEW FLOODING OUTLOOK
       

       
       

      Newport is always a good idea, especially during Boat Show Week

      The Hood 42 LM took the top award, the Hunt 56 made her debut, and we caught the sunset at Castle Hill. Here’s a look at our visit to this year’s Newport Boat Show..…

      Read More
       

      2026 Pacific Coral Surveys Interactive Story

      NOAA scientists returned from American Samoa and the Pacific Islands Heritage Marine National Monument after conducting coral reef monitoring surveys. Check out their interactive story…

      Read More
       

      A Hurricane Season Without Hurricanes, So Far

      For the first time since 1914, the Atlantic reached September 21 without a hurricane…

      Read More
       

      Ocean Indicators That Help Track El Niño’s Arrival on the West Coast

      Changes in ocean conditions and marine life that typically signal the arrival of El Niño’s influence along the West Coast…

      Read More

      Photo credits (top to bottom): Rockland Breakwater, Maine during the September 2026 nor’easter storm. Photos (2) by Stacey Keefer; Palm Beach Yachts display at the 2026 Newport International Boat Show, Photo by Jamie Bloomquist, US Harbors; A scientist capturing digital images to build a 3D reef model. Credit: NOAA Fisheries; A map of the Atlantic Ocean and East Coast of the USA showing no hurricanes by September 21, 2026. Digital illustration created by US Harbors using Claude AI and NOAA hurricane data; Yellowfin tuna are more commonly seen and caught off California during El Niño periods. Credit: Shutterstock

       

       
       

       

      Copyright (C) 2026. All rights reserved.​
      ​
      Our mailing address is:
      PO Box 251, Rockport, ME 04856
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    • Tropical Development Brewing in the Gulf? – Fred Pickhardt


      Fred Pickhardt’s Substack is free today. But if you enjoyed this post, you can tell Fred Pickhardt’s Substack that their writing is valuable by pledging a future subscription. You won’t be charged unless they enable payments.

         
       
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      Tropical Development Brewing in the Gulf?

      Potential Tropical Cyclone and Heavy Rains

       
       
       
       
       

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      The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a trough of low pressure in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico that is producing widespread showers and thunderstorms.

         

      Conditions are expected to become increasingly favorable for development later this week with the National Hurricane Center now giving a 70%) chance for development of a tropical depression later this week.

        

       

      Current Gulf Conditions

      A stationary frontal boundary extends across the northern Gulf (from southern Alabama to southern Texas) causing fresh to near gale-force northeast winds behind the front over the northwestern Gulf coastal waters.

        

      Outlook

      Whether this system organizes into a tropical cyclone or not, a broad low-pressure area should take shape by Tuesday night. Fresh to locally strong winds and rough seas are forecast to impact portions of the Gulf from Wednesday through Saturday night. In addition heavy rainfalls are expected across the western and northern Gulf, Gulf States and southern Georgia over the next several days.

        

      Ocean Weather Services

      Forensic Marine Weather Expert

      NOAA National Hurricane Center

      NOAA Ocean Prediction Center

      NOAA High Seas Forecast

      NOAA Offshore Forecasts

      NOAA US Coastal Waters Forecasts

       

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    • LTM Additions: Yesterday (Mon, Oct 05)

      12 New LTM\’s Added Yesterday

      SELECT LTM Area:

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    • NO LOOKING BACK – Janice Anne Wheeler, Sparring With Mother Nature

       
       
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      PART 4 – This is the final installment in a four-part pen pal exchange between Linda aboard Duende at Shellphone Chronicles and Janice Anne aboard Steadfast at Sparring with Mother Nature.

      Every day, in every way, we all SPAR WITH MOTHER NATURE: our health, environment, winds, rain and sunshine. Thanks for helping this publication grow. ~J

      If you have just joined our engaging little community, please read SPARS & SPARRING as an introduction to my watery world. I’m glad you climbed aboard!

       


      NO LOOKING BACK

      OPPOSITE LATITUDES PARALLEL ATTITUDES

       
       
       
       
       

      READ IN APP

       

      Writing from different oceans on opposite sides of the globe, two women sailors exchange letters about how we came to build our lives at sea, each aboard a very different sailing vessel. Opposite Latitudes, Parallel Attitudes explores what it takes to go all in on this life—and where those choices have carried us.

         
      Isla Espiritu Santo, Baja California Sur, Golfo de California (aka Sea of Cortez) – original photo by LJ.

      Part 4 – Letter from Linda to Janice Anne – We’ve crossed another threshold

      Dear J,

      Thanks for your letter of two weeks ago, and all your interesting questions. Everyone wonders about our timeframe of years or our ‘finish’ point, and that is so hard to answer. We think about it sometimes, but right now our focus is on one voyage at a time. As I write this response, we are on another big one.

      We just left the port of Kavieng on New Ireland Island in Papua New Guinea and are westbound for Biak, Indonesia. It’s a voyage of approximately 900 miles and we expect to be there in 6 days or so. This will be our last multi-day trip as the distances between destinations will be shorter over our next couple of seasons in Indonesia and Malaysia.

         

      Last view of New Ireland

      We tend to think in the way of seasons – keeping ourselves out of cyclones, typhoons, and monsoons here in this part of the world. This passage will take us into the Indonesian part of the Pacific Ocean, with the land masses of Australia and Papua New Guinea blocking us from the big ocean swells that roll relentlessly from Antarctica. I’m happy to leave the 3- and 4-meter waves behind me and enjoy some smoother sailing.

      Our last trip was good, and safe, thank you for asking. It was a “spirited” sail of 3.5 days from Noro in the Solomon Islands to Kavieng in PNG, through the Solomon Sea and up the Bismark Sea along the coast of New Ireland. We stopped in Kavieng for 5 days, and our time there dispelled some of the trepidation I had about PNG. There is visible poverty, and apparently unemployment is high, but people were friendly and welcoming and we didn’t feel any danger walking around in daylight. One of the largest producing open-pit gold mines in the world is located in New Ireland, and I’m sure the revenue from this mine has a lot to do with the well paved roads and new 4×4 SUVs driving on them.

      But that wealth aside, there is still extreme contrast with the ubiquity of betel nut, the everyman form of commerce. Nearly everyone chews it, and the red stains on people’s mouths and teeth, together with the red spit that literally covers the ground in some places, is hard to get accustomed to. Betel nuts literally grow on trees, so anyone can gather and sell them on the streets, a few dozen nuts spread out on a small mat, with the accompanying green beans or rolled up leaves and small containers of white lime dust made from crushed coral that make up the ritual. The combination of the three elements is what makes it all turn red when chewed.

         

      Take a bite of betel nut, dip the green bean in the lime dust, bite that off and chew – and then spit, a lot. It’s a mild narcotic, obviously addictive, and entirely acceptable. Even government officials have red-stained and broken teeth. Betel chewing will continue to be a thing through much of western Indonesia, so I just have to get over it.

      One thing that will end soon for us is the “new” names – we’ve been in New Georgia, New Britain, New Ireland, and just today we sailed past New Hanover – but from now on the names become much less colonial and more Indonesian. I need to work on my pronunciation.

      You asked about how the two of us handle the rig on Duende. It’s remarkably easy – in some ways even easier for the two of us to sail than our last 50-foot boat with its hoisting main and manual winches. We have in-mast furling on our mainsail, and roller furling on our Yankee and staysail, as well as power winches, all of which are hydraulic electric. Even though we have power assist, there is a tremendous amount of force on our lines when the sails are powered up, so we tend to sail conservatively, and we make slow and calculated changes, with well-planned maneuvers. So far, so good! And we do have amazing tank capacity and filled up with diesel before we left the Solomons, so we’ll be good for fuel for the next few months.

      As you said J, change is the constant thing we have in our lives afloat. The wind changes, the sea state changes, and we keep moving, so our scenery is always changing as well. It is a real privilege to explore this blue planet by sea, and we are so lucky to be able to go to so many places that few travelers visit. Many times, you can’t go where we go except by boat, and that’s even more special.

         

      My writing desk in the middle of nowhere

      I know you feel the same, and I’m curious to know what you and the Sailor on STEADFAST have in mind for your next seasons. I’m sure you are thinking of points south now that the first nor’easter of the year is blowing in – so early this year! When do you plan to cast off next? I know you are getting antsy, and I can’t wait to hear the plan. Whatever it is, it’s going to be a good one, I know that for sure.

      I’m so happy to have met you and promise to keep in touch. This letter exchange has been so fun to create with you, and I’m honored to now count you as a friend. And in response to your postscript on your last letter, I do believe that connecting with you and SPARRING WITH MOTHER NATURE has helped bump my subscriber count and my little increase in the Travel section on Substack!

      Coming back to your first question about our “finish point”, I can’t say for certain what, when, or where that is. We hope to keep doing this for years to come, Neptune willing. We often joke about carrying on “until we can’t climb aboard anymore”, and maybe that will be the day.

      Until then, no looking back! We have our eyes on the horizon in front of us, open to the next adventure.

      Sail on my friend,

      LJ, SV Duende Underway from Kavieng, Papua New Guinea to Biak, Indonesia
      Latitude: 001° 39.248’ S

      Longitude: 140° 10.079’ E


      Part 4: Letter from Janice Anne to Linda – We’re heading south. Soon!

      Hi LJ!

      I set your letter aside, briefly, and then settled down with a coffee so I could concentrate on your dynamic life. Another island nation under your keel, eh, my friend?! I had to refresh my geography on your current part of the globe and saw so many choices and things to see, the huge majority of which, I’m sure, are stunningly beautiful. Why have a plan?! As author Justin S.Bailey says, “Those Who Wander” see the most. And, as you say, some places are better explored, in some seasons more than others, it really does take a tremendous amount of planning to SPAR WITH MOTHER NATURE properly….the Nor’Easter that tested STEADFAST’s docklines is some serious weather, the type we both try to avoid and the type that cannot always be avoided. We were getting rocked by this system two days before the international announcement that it was, actually, a force to be reckoned with, one that threatened the most populous region in North America. We both know what 65 knots can accomplish. A perfect storm. It lasted six days!

      Regardless of what you choose as your destinations in the years to come, I’m sure it will be tremendously educational and fulfilling. You and the Captain saw a dream and made the whole thing come true– ALL IN. I think it’s fantastic that there is no end in sight!

      You inquire about our plan, and not surprisingly it’s similar to your own, not really a plan at all. Right now, we’re on a bit of a departure delay–there is a new Force10 oven in the back of Bad Bad Leroy Brown, my 200K-mileage RAM (you know the song and will now be singing it all day…!) That pickup also contains a case or two of Bermuda rum and UK gin…. provisioning is just about complete.

      Speaking of gin– here’s fifteen feet of gin-clear water in the Bahamas… incredible. We call these “Looking-Glass Days” and spend every moment we can immersed.

         

      Other tasks have reared their challenging heads but we’ll depart here before the waters cool and the leaves fall. Our destination, in this case, like yours, will be dependent on our mood, and that of Mother Nature. After two and a half years ‘on the hard,’ I’m thinking that closer, quieter, easier might be best to reunite with our love of spear-fishing, beach-combing and solitude.

         

      Allan’s Pensacola Cay, Abaco, Bahamas. The next landfall past that breaking barrier reef is Africa. And under those dark coral heads? Lobster! We fish in the morning & eat them for lunch. Heaven on earth.

      My Sailor spent all the winters of his youth in the Bahamas and summers where we are now, the Chesapeake Bay. Prior to meeting him, I had highly underestimated the beauty and diversity of that 600-island nation, but my respect and admiration has grown as we explore the more remote areas. Sounds great to me, right now, I can tell you that; I’m snugged in with Smartwool socks! It does warm back up and will be fine until we depart, that was an anomaly! (fingers crossed>>>)

      On our way we’ll re-explore favorite East Coast haunts: Beaufort, North Carolina, Cumberland Island, Florida and historic St. Augustine. Looking forward to it all.

      Wild horses from the anchorage, Beaufort.

         

      Shackleford Island, North Carolina. I wasn’t walking fast enough so this one snuck up and passed me. It’s her island…!

         

      Even known adventures are good for the soul and change is the only constant in this big, complicated world. The modern equipment that allows you two to comfortably sail that eighty-footer is a stark contrast to Miss STEADFAST, but we knew that already. I’m sure your maintenance log is extensive and hope that you have all the random spare parts you need, like that big one when you departed Fiji. I certainly related to that tale, as those items tend to go south at the most inopportune times…and most often in the dark…but there’s still no regret, and no looking back, is there?

      I am lucky enough to be having breakfast with author and legendary sailor Lin Pardey (285,000 miles to her credit; at 83 she’s still living on the water, somewhere south of you, having just crossed the powerful Tasman Sea, again). She mans a booth at the Annapolis Sailboat Show in October so I inquired if we could meet and she agreed–her wooden vessel and my Sailor’s home were at the same marina quite often in the 70s and 80s. When she first sailed, half a century ago, 24ft SERAFFYN had no engine, no head, no GPS, and a dream. Like you. So with the amazing technical and communication advances, now we can stay in touch with our Starlink, work, and still wander. Way back when Lin and Larry Pardey would depart and then arrive; there was no tracking and little forecasting. This is truly striking since you and I were ‘chatting’ on zoom when this collaboration first began, as if you were across the dinette from me instead of across the planet from me!

      Let’s definitely stay in touch, please– I count you as a soulmate as well as a friend! I will be following you on Shellphone Chronicles while we are both SPARRING WITH MOTHER NATURE.

      May your joys and explorations outweigh your challenges, always.

      We honor Neptune, too. Give respect where respect is due.

      I wish you fair winds and gentle seas.

      ~J S/Y STEADFAST

      Cambridge Harbor, Eastern Shore, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, US

      Latitude 38° 34.67 North Longitude 76° 4.75 West

      Attitude? Fabulous and ready for anything!

      Cheers as the sun sets on a super-fun Pen Pal Series…

      Thank you for this opportunity, LJ; what a pleasure!

         

      Cat Island, Bahamas 2022

      Care to catch up on the whole series? Happy to have you!

      Collaborations & Publications

      Serendipity and a Love of the Sea

       
      ·
       
      Aug 19
       

      This is the first installment in a four-part pen pal exchange between Linda aboard Duende at Shellphone Chronicles and Janice Anne aboard Steadfast at Sparring with Mother Nature.

       

      Read full story
       

      I so appreciate your support of my work. Saving a piece of maritime history is far more complicated than I ever imagined!

         

       

       
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      © 2026 Janice Anne Wheeler
      HOME IS WHERE WE DROP THE ANCHOR., Annapolis, Maryland, USA
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    • TS Hanna Forms over Central Atlantic – Fred Pickhardt


      Fred Pickhardt’s Substack is free today. But if you enjoyed this post, you can tell Fred Pickhardt’s Substack that their writing is valuable by pledging a future subscription. You won’t be charged unless they enable payments.

       
         
       
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      NOAA is indicating a 20–40% chance of tropical cyclone development in the Bay of Campeche and the western Caribbean during mid-October.

         

      Models suggest the formation of a Central American Gyre that could trigger heavy rainfall and can sometimes spin up organized tropical systems on both the Pacific and Atlantic sides of Central America.

      While a strong, ongoing El Niño typically suppresses Atlantic tropical activity, a subseasonal Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) wave moving through the Western Hemisphere may temporarily provide favorable conditions for this development.

      Ocean Weather Services

      Forensic Marine Weather Expert

       

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    • No Imminent Threats, We’ll Watch the Gulf Next Week – SCDNR


       
       
       

      No Imminent Threats, We’ll Watch the Gulf Next Week

      South Carolina Department of Natural Resources color logo and white text of agency name and State Climatology Office

      Weather Alert  –  October 2, 2026

      No Imminent Threats, We’ll Watch the Gulf Next Week

      The Atlantic has returned to inactivity. We have no active tropical cyclones, and it’s unlikely that any will form over the next week. We’ll watch the Gulf for possible development starting later next week.

      This loop of visible satellite imagery shows the features of interest across the North Atlantic and eastern United States.

      The above loop of visible satellite imagery above shows features of interest across the North Atlantic and eastern U. S.:

      • The remnants of Fay well to the southeast of Bermuda.
      • Tropical waves along 74° west over the Caribbean Sea and along 38° west over the central tropical Atlantic.
      • A band of clouds stretching from Texas to New England along a cold front.
      • Disturbed weather over the eastern and central Gulf that will be drawn northward by the approaching cold front.

      Image Source: University of Wisconsin RealEarth

      The only current feature of interest is the remains of Tropical Storm Fay, about 500 miles southeast of Bermuda, valiantly holding on in its fight to remain dead. The National Hurricane Center gives it a 10 percent chance of resurrection. However, it will remain too far from South Carolina to affect us.

      Two tropical waves are passing through the deep tropics, one south of Haiti and the other around 1500 miles east of the Windward Islands. Neither is generating much thunderstorm activity. Dry air and strong vertical wind shear will prevent the waves from developing further as they drift westward.

      We’ll continue to watch cold fronts over the next week as they push through the Southeast and become stationary over the Gulf and southwestern Atlantic. Stationary fronts can become tropical cyclone breeding grounds over warm waters, and computer models indicate a low-end risk of a storm developing over the Bay of Campeche or western Gulf later next week or next weekend.

      This hurricane season has been the quietest in many years (2014 was the last season with only 8 named storms) and the first in over a century with no hurricanes to date (1914 had no hurricanes; we might go without a hurricane this season). Nevertheless, we have to stay prepped. You know, it only takes one. So stay ready and visit hurricane.sc if you need prep advice.


      SC Weather Highlights For the Next Week:

      Our current hot spell (and perhaps the last of the year, we can only hope) will end after today, as a cold front moves in this weekend.

      It’s great that we’ll cool off and, even better, we’ll see a soaking rain and thunderstorms over the weekend as a tropical air mass now over the Gulf gets pulled in by the front. Well, that’s not so great for outdoor plans you might have and for Saturday football (lightning delays are possible), but it will help with our drought.

      The downside is that the heavy rain we’ll see this weekend could cause isolated flash flooding. The Weather Prediction Center’s outlooks have the entire state at level 1 of 4 for flooding rain on Saturday, then level 2 on Sunday into Sunday night. The rain will linger into Monday along the coast and perhaps farther inland; there’s some uncertainty about how long it takes for the front to sag south far enough that even the Lowcountry dries out. In fact, the front may become stationary near our coastal areas, keeping clouds and maybe even a shower or two around into Tuesday and Wednesday, especially in the coastal Lowcountry. Most areas are likely to get 1-2 inches of rain in the coming days, with some areas seeing 3-4 inches locally.

      WPC's Day 3 Excessive Rainfall Outlook graphic for South Carolina, covering Sunday and Sunday night.

      WPC’s Day 3 Excessive Rainfall Outlook graphic for South Carolina shows the entire state in a level 2 of 4 risk area for flooding rain Sunday and Sunday night.

      We’re likely to remain dry elsewhere early next week, and across the state later next week, with the next chance of rain next weekend.

      We’ll go from today’s summery warmth to early November-like temperatures behind the front. Saturday will be warm again with highs in the 80s, then near 70 in the Upstate to the low 80s in the Lowcountry on Sunday. It will be even cooler early next week; highs will be in the mid-to-upper 70s on Monday, then in the upper 60s and low 70s on Tuesday and Wednesday. Late next week looks a little warmer, but with highs still mainly in the 70s. Expect chilly mornings next week, with lows mainly in the 40s and 50s.


      Frank Strait
      Severe Weather Liaison
      S.C. State Climate Office

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    • Cruisers’ Net Weekly Newsletter – October 2, 2026

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    • Legacy Harbour Marina REOPENS, Okeechobee Waterway Statute Mile 135.5


      Great news for the cruising community.  One of my personal favorite marinas is open again four years after being destroyed by Hurricane Ian in September 2022.  Legacy Harbour was a longtime CRUISERS NET SPONSOR, and we look forward to their new 131 slip marina featuring Bellingham’s wave attenuator and dock systems.  Construction is expected to be completed in Spring 2026.

      We’re officially open and it feels good to have boats back at Legacy Harbour Marina! ⚓
      Nearly four years after Hurricane Ian, our rebuilt docks are once again welcoming boaters to the Fort Myers waterfront. With 131 wet slips for vessels from 40 to 140 feet, upgraded infrastructure and enhanced amenities, we’re ready for what’s ahead.
      WINK News hit the docks as some of our first boaters arrived and spoke with harbourmaster Eric Ravenschlag about the rebuild and what it means to welcome the boating community back.
      The docks are ready. The boats are arriving. And we’re just getting started.
      Watch the WINK News story and read more here: https://bit.ly/4hmP8ud

      Click Here To View the Cruisers’ Net’s Western Florida Marina Directory Listing For Legacy Harbour Marina

      Click Here To Open A Chart View Window, Zoomed To the Location of Legacy Harbour Marina

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    • TS Hanna Forms over Central Atlantic – Fred Pickhardt


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      The disturbance previously tracked over the central subtropical Atlantic has acquired a well-defined surface circulation and center.

      Current Status (1500 UTC (1100 AM AST), Mon Sep 28

      • Center Location: 36.6N, 50.4W (Accurate within 25 NM)
      • Present Movement: East (100 degrees) at 15 knots

      Wind & Pressure Profile

      • Maximum Sustained Winds: 40 knots
      • Peak Gusts: 50 knots
      • Estimated Minimum Central Pressure: 1006 MB
      • Max Significant Wave Height: Estimated 4-4.5 meters (13-15 feet)

      Wind Field

      The strongest winds (35 to 40 knots) and deep convection are located to the east and southeast of the center, largely due to strong westerly shear. Currently, 34-knot tropical storm-force winds extend out about 80 nautical miles strictly into the southeastern quadrant..

      Outlook

      Hanna is expected to slow after about 24 hours, then turn toward the east-northeast. Strong west-northwesterly shear is expected to persist over the storm for the next several days, meaning little, if any, strengthening is anticipated. Within a couple of days, Hanna is expected to degenerate into a post-tropical remnant low.

         

      NOAA National Hurricane Center

      NOAA High Seas Forecast

      Ocean Weather Services

      Forensic Marine Weather Expert

       

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