Jul 18, 2026by: Curtis Hoff No Comments

Gulf Disturbance Update – Fred Pickhardt

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Gulf Disturbance Update

Fred Pickhardt

Jul 18

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Upper level low pressure across Florida and the far eastern Gulf now extends into the lower atmosphere, and a weak surface low.

300 mb wind

This system has been designated a tropical disturbance (Invest AL91) by NOAA NHC. There is now a 40% chance for this system to become a tropical cyclone over the next 3-7 days as it moves slowly northward.

NOAA Satellite Image

Disorganized thunderstorms, strong wind gusts, and frequent lightning are occuring between 83W–84W and across the Florida Gulf Coast, mainly associated with an upper-level low. An Air Force reconnaissance flight scheduled for Sunday, July 19 to investigate the system.

Latest NHC advisories: NOAA NHC

Ocean Weather Services

Forensic Marine Weather Expert

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