June Tropical Cyclone Risk – Fred Pickhardt
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The Atlantic Hurricane Season begins in June, bringing a historically low but serious early-season risk to mariners and Gulf Coast residents. While a named tropical cyclone only forms in June about once every 6 to 10 years, the highest risk area sits directly over the central Gulf of Mexico. If a June storm does develop, historical patterns show the most likely track moves from the northwestern Caribbean northwest over the Gulf. This leaves a 50/50 chance for the system to curve north, then northeast toward Florida.
Click here for a look at the prospects for the upcoming 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season. |



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