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    • Tropics Quiet For Now; A Long-Range Concern – SCDNR

      South Carolina Department of Natural Resources color logo and white text of agency name and State Climatology Office

      Weather Alert  –  October 17, 2025

      Tropics Quiet For Now; A Long-Range Concern

      All is quiet on the Atlantic front today. We don’t have any named storms to track and only a few features of interest. That’s no surprise, as we are exiting the most active part of the hurricane season.

      This loop of visible satellite images shows clouds associated with the features of interest across the Atlantic Basin today.

      This loop of visible satellite images shows clouds associated with the
      features of interest across the Atlantic Basin today.

      Image Source: University of Wisconsin RealEarth

      The view from space shows an intense non-tropical storm off the East Coast, a band of clouds over the northern Caribbean Sea and Central Atlantic, and two tropical waves to the east of the Windward Islands. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) tells us that there are two areas to watch for development over the next week.

      NHC's Seven-Day Tropical Weather Outlook from this morning indicates two areas of concern over the Atlantic Basin

      The storm off the East Coast has a slight chance to gain tropical characteristics over the weekend while it’s passing over the Gulf Stream. It’s a 10 percent chance of becoming a named storm, they say. For us, it doesn’t matter because it’s moving to the east and won’t impact us directly, whether it’s tropical or not. It’s a big storm that will churn up a lot of the Atlantic, potentially causing beach and boating impacts from the storm’s swells. However, the storm’s swells will primarily be directed toward the east and south, making them more of a problem for places like Bermuda, the Bahamas, and the Atlantic-facing sides of the Greater Antilles than for the East Coast.

      Of greater concern is the area to watch in the deep tropics. We have a pair of tropical waves moving in tandem across the tropical Atlantic east of the Windward Islands today, and you can see a gentle turning motion with the trailing one along 43° west. That’s the one that NHC has highlighted for possible development once it reaches the Caribbean Sea.

      They’re giving it a 30 percent chance to develop over the next week. However, this feature will evolve slowly, and extending the window to 10 days would likely increase the development odds to even money or higher. Most computer models show a tropical cyclone prowling the central or western Caribbean Sea in a week or so. The Caribbean waters are very warm and contain a vast amount of heat energy to fuel a hurricane, so there would be a high ceiling on the potential intensity of a storm in this area.

      However, that’s about all the valuable information that I can give at this point. There are too many variables in the long range to predict where this feature might eventually go. Most models show it turning north, crossing one of the Greater Antilles, and then tracking far to our east. However, a few indicate an eventual track toward the U. S. and possibly even South Carolina. If so, it would be more than 10 days from now, so there’s a lot of time to watch it.

      The next name on this year’s list is Melissa, which is likely to be used for a storm in the Caribbean later next week or the following weekend. If the storm off the East Coast becomes tropical enough to earn a name, the next one on the list after Melissa is Nestor.

      So, the bottom line is that hurricane season isn’t over yet, and we must remain prepared for potential threats. We all hope that the potential Caribbean development remains a Somebody Else’s Problem, but that’s not assured. If you’re not ready and need help getting prepared, hurricane.sc is your go-to resource for prep advice.


      The Palmetto State remains in a stretch of tranquility that will continue through Saturday before a cold front moves in with a chance for rain on Sunday. Saturday looks lovely with a cool start followed by a warm afternoon; highs will mainly in the 75-80° range across the state. Then Sunday looks mainly cloudy, or with sun fading behind clouds along the Coastal Plain. The Upstate likely sees showers or steady rain starting before midday, while the rest of the state will likely have showers around during the afternoon and evening. A thunderstorm can’t be ruled out, but the severe storm risk is near zero. Most of the state sees 75-80° for highs again on Sunday, but the Upstate will be cooler due to the earlier arrival of rain.

      The Upstate could see a modest amount of rain on Sunday (a quarter to half-inch), but widespread rain is unlikely elsewhere in South Carolina. That will only put a small dent in the Upstate’s drought, and relief elsewhere will be minimal.

      The latest U. S. Drought Monitor shows an end to the drought near the coast but dry conditions continue elsewhere in South Carolina.

      This week’s U. S. Drought Monitor shows an end to the drought near the coast, but dry conditions continue elsewhere in South Carolina; about a fourth of the state is in drought.

      The big soaking we ended up getting from last weekend’s coastal storm obliterated the drought across most of the Coastal Plain, but the rest of the state remains dry, and we can use whatever rain Sunday’s cold front brings. 

      Dry weather returns for Monday, and it looks like we’ll see another long dry spell get underway. Monday will be cooler with highs mainly in the lower 70s across the state. Tuesday looks warmer as southerly winds ahead of another cold front pull in warmer air. However, this next front will likely be moisture-starved and generate no rain here.

      Wednesday through Friday all look like pleasant and dry days with highs in the 70s. Early indications are that the dry spell will continue through next weekend and maybe the first part of the following week.


      Frank Strait
      Severe Weather Liaison
      S.C. State Climate Office

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    • Fishermen’s Village November 2025 Calendars, Punta Gorda, FL


      Fisherman's Village Marina and Resort, Punta Gorda, FL

      There is always plenty to do around Charlotte Harbor. While berthed at Fishermen’s Village Marina, A CRUISERS NET SPONSOR, you are certain to enjoy visiting Western Florida’s beautiful Charlotte Harbor/Peace River.

      Fishermen’s Village November Calendars of Entertainment/Events

      November 2025 Sunset Beach Club Calendar 

      November 2025 Fisherman’s Village Calendar


      Kathy Burnam
      Special Events & Community Relations

      941.639.8721

      kburnam@fishermensvillage.com

      www.fishermensvillage.com

      Click Here To View the Western Florida Cruisers Net Marina Directory Listing For Fishermen’s Village

      Click Here To Open A Chart View Window Zoomed To the Location of Fishermen’s Village

       

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    • Prop Bite: Prop Diameter & Pitch – Canadian Boating/Mercury Marine

       

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    • Eulogy For Paper Navigation Charts – Passagemaker

       

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    • Seamless travel. Endless memories. Makers Air


       Welcome to the Staniel Cay Yacht Club, your own paradise in the middle of the beautiful Exumas.

      staniel

      Makers Air and Staniel Cay Yacht Club,  A CRUISERS NET SPONSOR, offer convenient flights to the Bahamas.

       
       
       
       

      There’s nothing quite like the wonder of seeing the world beneath the surface for the first time. For families, these simple moments , clear waters, gentle waves, and a child discovering life under the sea , become memories you’ll carry forever.

      At Makers Air, we make reaching these experiences effortless. From our private lounge in Fort Lauderdale to our direct flights aboard 9-seater Cessna Grand Caravans, we connect you seamlessly to the Out Islands of the Bahamas, places the big carriers simply can’t reach.

      With our boutique service, two-pilot crews, and flawless safety record, you can trust us to take care of the journey so you can focus on what matters most: time together.

      Seamless travel. Endless memories.

      hashtagIslandAdventures hashtagFamilyTravelMoments hashtagLuxuryEscapeBahamas hashtagSeamlessAirTravel hashtagBoutiqueFlyingExperience hashtagDiscoverTheOutIslands

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    • 7th Annual International CultureFest, Fishermen’s Village, Punta Gorda, FL


      Fisherman's Village Marina and Resort, Punta Gorda, FL

      There is always plenty to do around Charlotte Harbor. While berthed at Fishermen’s Village Marina, A CRUISERS NET SPONSOR, you are certain to enjoy visiting Western Florida’s beautiful Charlotte Harbor/Peace River.

      Kathy Burnam
      Special Events & Community Relations

      941.639.8721

      kburnam@fishermensvillage.com

      www.fishermensvillage.com

      Click Here To View the Western Florida Cruisers Net Marina Directory Listing For Fishermen’s Village

      Click Here To Open A Chart View Window Zoomed To the Location of Fishermen’s Village

       

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    • SNAG-A-SLIP’S BANKRUPTCY – Chapter 7

      Thanks to our friends at Fernandina Harbor Marina for this information regarding Snag-a-Slip’s Bankruptcy:

      We have some information about snag a slip that applies to all marinas . They filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy and are no longer providing assistance through their website.

      “Snag a slip is no longer a viable platform to make reservations. All users of this platform should contact the marina of choice directly or via their website.” If there are any further questions please reach out to Nate Parsons, 904-310-3303 or Chris Ferguson 904-310-3302 or via email. Thank you for your time. 

      If you contact snag a slip this is the message you receive: We regret to inform you that Snag-A-Slip has filed a Chapter 7 bankruptcy petition and has ceased operations effective immediately. Our team can no longer manage reservations, and payments or respond to customer service inquiries. 

      Further information about the case may be obtained through the Delaware Bankruptcy Court’s website, at https://www.deb.uscourts.gov/. The clerk’s office will provide all known creditors with notice of the case and details about whether and when proofs of claim need to be filed. Snag-A-Slip LLC is Case No. 25-11798.

       

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    • Our OBX National Parks Need Your Support – Outer Banks National Parks

       
       

      Our Outer Banks National Parks Need Your Help: Now More Than Ever

      Thank you for being a supporter of our Outer Banks national parks! We’re so grateful for people like you who understand how important it is to protect and enhance these special places, now and for future generations. 
      As you’ve seen in the news, the government has shut down due to a lapse in federal appropriations. While the Department of the Interior has issued a contingency plan which directs national park sites to remain mostly open, our parks will be operating with significantly less staff and visitor resources. At this time, we do not know how long the shutdown may last.  
      Recently, the National Park Service released its 2024 Visitor Spending Effects ReportNearly 3.5 million visitors spent close to $698 million in the communities around our three Outer Banks national parks in 2024, supporting more than 7,500 jobs, generating approximately $296 million in labor income and $913 million in economic output, while adding close to $526 million in value. Disruptions to our parks’ operations will have a direct effect on our broader Outer Banks community.  
      As someone who cares about our Outer Banks national parks, you know our parks are not immune to the challenges facing many other national parks today — severe beach erosion and threatened oceanfront structures, wear and tear from the high volume of visitors, and limited or lapsed federal funding are impacting these treasured places. Our parks need your help now more than ever.  
      Here’s how you can help our national parks today:
      Donate: Outer Banks Forever is the official nonprofit partner of Cape Hatteras National SeashoreFort Raleigh National Historic Site, and Wright Brothers National Memorial. By raising funds for these special places, we help protect and enhance them, now and forever. Your donation – of any amount – supports the projects, programs, and people that make our Outer Banks national parks the best they can be! If you’d like to give a gift to support our parks, please click here.  
      Shop online: You can support our Outer Banks national parks by shopping our online store! Your purchase ensures that future generations continue to learn and create memories in the Outer Banks through history, conservation, and the celebration of innovation. 
      Say thank you: Our Outer Banks national park staff and volunteers work diligently to provide you with the margin of excellence you have come to expect when visiting these amazing places. We encourage you to thank our national park staff and volunteers for helping to protect our parks and park visitors. If you’d like to share a favorite Outer Banks national park memory, a story of how our park staff and volunteers have impacted your visit, or how our parks have made a difference in your life and the lives of your loved ones, click here
      Stay informed: Look for our emails in your inbox and follow us on FacebookInstagram, and YouTube to stay up to date with Outer Banks national park happenings. We will share information about the government shutdown and its impact on our parks as we receive it.  
      Thank you again for your support of our Outer Banks national parks. We can’t do what we do without people like you! 
      With gratitude,
      Bryan Burhans, Director
      Nicole Erickson, Development & Adoption Programs Manager
      Rachael Graf, Community Engagement Coordinator 
      Outer Banks Forever
      Photo Credit: Dottie Di Liddo – Unsplash
       
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      Kill Devil Hills, NC 27948-1635

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    • Florida Scholar-Sailor Tracked Columbus and Came Up With His Own Theory – Loose Cannon

      Cruisers Net publishes Loose Cannon articles with Captain Swanson’s permission in hopes that mariners with saltwater in their veins will subscribe. $7 per month or $56 for the year; you may cancel at any time.

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      When all else fails, try journalism.


      Florida Scholar-Sailor Tracked Columbus and Came Up With His Own Theory

      Samana Cay Was Likely ‘Island Two,’ Donald McGuirk Argued

       
       
       
       
       

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      San Salvador is the first place Christopher Columbus set foot in the Western Hemisphere, and we know this because the great 20th century sailor-historian Samuel Eliot Morison said so, and all contrary theories crumbled under scrutiny.

      But the dude may have been wrong about the second island where Niña, Pinta and Santa Maria dropped anchor. Morison contended Island Two was Rum Cay. But Loose Cannon’s favorite sailor-schoolar, the late Donald McGuirk of Bradenton, Florida, begged to differ. McGuirk argued that it was actually Samana Cay.

      By now some readers are probably thinking, “Who gives a flying farthing which cay came in second?” I could reply that a voyage which is still more consequential for civilization than the Moon landings deserves to be understood in granular detail. That probably would have been McGuirk’s position.

      But, hey, who am I kidding? I’ve liked the idea of Samana Cay ever since I read in an old Bahamas cruising guide about how someone in a Morgan Out Island 41 once rode out a hurricane behind Samana Cay’s fringing reef. I never made it there myself, but always thought it would be enormously satifisfying to anchor my own OI 41 there for a couple of nights.

      (Another irrational attraction to McGuirk’s scholarship is the fact that the veteran of the U.S. Army Air Corps named his 33-foot Southern Cross cutter Gooney Bird. That was the nickname for the C47 transport aircraft—my father flew in C47s throughout World War II and the Berlin Airlift.)

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      McGuirk wrote a paper on the subject entitled, “Why Samana Cay is the Second Island Visited During Christopher Columbus’s Sail Through the Bahamas on his First Voyage to the New World,” which you can download below.

      McGuirk investigation report is the kind of writing that would appeal to any nerd who is happiest at the intersection of history, geography and sailing.

      Debated for centuries, most historians now accept San Salvador (previously Watling Island) Bahamas as the first “New World” island visited by Columbus in 1492.1 His course through the additional three Bahama Islands visited before reaching Cuba has received less critical attention. There are two reasons for this. First, the standard translation of Columbus’s log leaves few choices for the three islands beyond San Salvador. Second, the current and widely accepted course has the approval of Samuel Eliot Morison, a luminary in his field.2 He baptized the other three islands visited, as Rum Cay (Island Two), Long Island (Island Three), and a combination of Crooked Island and Fortune Island (Island Four).

      Columbus’s log, transcribed by Bartolomé de las Casas, can be interpreted in more than one way when it talks about what happened after the fleet left San Salvador, according to McGuirk. One of the interpretations has Columbus bypassing Rum Cay en route to another island anchorage.

      Also, as anyone who has sailed there can attest, Rum Cay is nowhere near 15 by 30 miles in size, yet these are the dimensions attributed to Island Two.

      The Las Casas diary is often referred to as the only primary source for Columbus’ first voyage, but McGuirk contended that Juan de la Cosas map from around 1500 provided important clues, while perhaps meeting the definition of a primary source better than that of the Diario.”

        
      This is a detail of the New World discoveries in the Juan de la Cosa world planisphere dated 1500, created about eight years after Columbus’s voyage. This is the only world map created by a witness to the first and second voyages of Columbus.
        
      And this is a detail from the map that McGuirk is reliant upon for his argument. Guanahami is San Salvador, though it appears to be misplaced.

      Since Morison’s final word on this subject in 1974, three subsequent works have attempted to match current Bahama Island placenames with their original Taino counterparts. These works match Guanahani with current-day San Salvador,26 Samana with Samana Cay, Yumay (Yuma) with Long Island, and Someto (Samoet) with Crooked and Fortunate Island. The position of the unnamed island on the La Cosa map suggests Rum Cay.

      The fact that the placename Samana appears on the la Cosa map, and a likely unnamed Rum Cay does not, suggests Samana Cay is Island Two, found after bypassing an unnamed Rum Cay.

      Island Order: Morison Versus McGuirk

        

      Here McGuirk makes a dead-reckoning argument:

      On October 22, Columbus mentioned that he named the southwest cape of Island Three “Cabo Verde.” Had Columbus sailed west from Samana Cay to Long Island, this cape would have been precisely where Columbus would have arrived. On a Rum Cay approach to Long Island, Columbus never arrives at Cabo Verde.36 The cape doesn’t fit into Morison’s route.

      If Rum Cay is Island Two, then Columbus must arrive at the north end of Long Island. Joseph Judge and the National Geographic Magazine have done an excellent job of recognizing the inadequate match of the Diario’s description of Fernandina with this location, while also demonstrating an excellent match of that geography with the south end of Long Island.

      Support for Rum Cay is also debatable on the proposition that the diary transcriber kept mixing up similarly spelled compass points. “In all, the Las Casas transcription has twelve corrections of compass points. These corrections document Las Casas’s difficulties in transcribing sailing directions from a scribe’s copy,” McGuirk wrote.

      The author goes on to note all manner of inconsistencies regarding times and distances, and I would invite anyone wishing to descend into these weeds, download McGuirk’s paper, which ends with:

      Morison has always had a robust theory of Columbus’s route through the Bahama Islands. That theory, however, does have its inconsistencies. Ife’s translation has opened the possibility of an alternative route. The information above and the Bahama toponyms on the Juan de la Cosa map, a primary source of information, strongly suggest That Samana Cay is Columbus’s Island Two. The inconsistencies within the Diario will always hamper any attempt to recreate Columbus’s route. Any route envisioned by researchers will depend on which Diario information they accept and which they choose to ignore.

      Why Samana Cay Is The Second Island Visi…
      282KB ∙ PDF file
      Download

      Nautical history stories are a regular feature in LOOSE CANNON. To receive them on your digital doorstep, consider becoming a free subscriber. If you’re a regular reader, consider upgrading to paid.

        
        
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