A question from one of our readers regarding parking a trailer:
Stephen asks: Are there any points on the loop where I would be able to park a trailer while on the loop? I had talked to Mackies Marina; however, they are closed now, and it looks like they are permanently closed.
Can anyone share their experiences and recommendations?
Tranquil times continue across the Atlantic Basin, which is the exact opposite of what we usually see in mid-September.
We have no tropical cyclones to track and only a couple of areas of interest. There are four tropical waves traversing the tropical Atlantic today:
Along 80° west over the western Caribbean Sea
Along 57° west, just east of the Lesser Antilles
Along 34° west, west of Cabo Verde
Along 22° west, having just emerged from West Africa
Visible satellite imagery of the Atlantic Basin today shows four tropical waves over the Caribbean Sea and tropical Atlantic, a band of clouds off the east Coast associated with a stationary front, and clouds with an extratropical storm southeast of Bermuda.
Image Source: University of Wisconsin RealEarth
The only one of these that is of any concern for development is the one that has just moved over the Atlantic from Africa. The other three are disorganized and in an unfavorable environment due to strong winds aloft, causing shear and sinking air, suppressing thunderstorm development. The easternmost wave has a broad turning motion associated with it, but not a lot of thunderstorm activity.
Computer models are in good agreement that the wave between Cabo Verde and Africa is likely to become a tropical cyclone over the middle of the tropical Atlantic next week, so it’s one to watch closely. The National Hurricane Center says it has a 40% chance of developing in this area next week.
So, this is a feature to watch closely. The unfavorable conditions we currently see over the Atlantic will shift eastward over the next few days, and a wave of more favorable conditions (rising air and less shear) will move in from the west. Usually, we blame the Madden-Julian Oscillation, but it’s weak right now, so we have other factors at work this time. So, I don’t think we’ll see a repeat of last week, when a wave over the middle of the tropical Atlantic seemed to have all systems go for development, but it fizzled instead. What’s left of that feature is the wave over the western Caribbean Sea today.
It’s far too early to say with certainty whether it will eventually have impacts on South Carolina, but most models take the feature toward Bermuda instead of the East Coast. If that’s right, we’d only see beach and boating impacts.
Elsewhere in the Atlantic, a non-tropical storm system southeast of Bermuda is causing thunderstorms, but it’s unlikely to evolve into a tropical entity. We also still have an old stationary front over the far western Atlantic, and features like that sometimes pull tropical shenanigans. We have seen that many times, including this year with Chantal. We’ll pay close attention to this area early next week because some models show an area of low pressure forming off the Southeast Coast, then moving into one or both Carolinas around Tuesday. The feature will likely be weak and probably non-tropical, though—more on that situation below.
As always, maintain your readiness for hurricanes and other disasters. SCEMD’s hurricane.sc and earthquake.sc websites are great resources for disaster prep information.
It has turned dry over most of South Carolina over the last few weeks. My backyard near Gaston has only seen measurable rain once since August 23, and that was only 0.06″. Most of South Carolina has been dry for the last month; the one notable exception is the coastal Lowcountry, which saw soaking rains at the end of August and earlier this week.
This plot of percent-of-normal rainfall across South Carolina over the last 30 days ending at 8 a.m. today from HRAP shows how dry it’s been lately over most of our state.
Image Source: WeatherBELL
Strong high pressure centered over eastern Canada and New England has been in control of our weather most of the time since late August and is responsible for the dry spell. This setup will continue through this weekend, so the dry and tranquil weather will continue through Sunday. It will remain warm (highs will be in the lower to middle 80s) with low humidity, so expect a lovely weekend overall.
Early next week, we’ll watch for a low-pressure area to form along a stationary front offshore. Models are in good agreement that a weak storm system will form, but they don’t all agree that it will move northward into the Carolinas. The more reliable models (including everyone’s favorite, “The Euro”) call for the feature to develop later Monday or Monday night and move northward slowly, causing some rain along our coast Monday night and perhaps most of the state on Tuesday into Wednesday. Hopefully, this is how it comes to pass because we really could use the rain. If this is what we see, then temperatures will be held down with highs mainly in the 70s to low 80s those days due to clouds and rain.
If the minority view of the models (including sometimes non-trustworthy GFS) carries the day early next week, then we remain dry and warm with highs in the 80s as a very weak storm system tracks offshore.
The end of next week is likely to be warm and rain-free, though another cold front could arrive with low-end rain chances as early as late Friday.
Frank Strait Severe Weather Liaison S.C. State Climate Office X: @SCwxFrankStrait
South Carolina Department of Natural Resources 260 D. Epting Lane West Columbia, SC, 29172
What’s Happening In Your Parks during September – Charleston County Parks
Birds of a Feather
On September 27, flock to Caw Caw Interpretive Center for live music, cold drinks, and the chance to chat with your fellow bird lovers and social butterflies. Get your tickets in advance to save $5!
Cast Away
Fishing for a good time? Drop a line at our next Cast Off Fishing Tournament on September 13! Whether you’re solo fishing or hanging with your crew, you’ll be in good company on the Mount Pleasant Pier, reeling in fun and soaking up the Saturday morning sunshine.
Understanding Rice Culture
On September 13, go deep into the big impact of this tiny grain. Join us at Caw Caw for a walk through a historic landscape shaped by rice cultivation and the people who grew it. As history lessons go, it’s a captivating one – don’t miss out!
Last Call!
Say so long to summer with one last Moonlight Mixer. On September 19, twirl your favorite dance partner across the Folly Beach Pier at our final dance of the season. DJ Bill Shelton will be spinning your favorite tunes, so get your tickets today!
Applause for Paws
Don’t miss Charleston Animal Society’s Applause for Paws: Emerald City Gala on October 4 at The Gaillard Center, an enchanting evening inspired by the timeless allure of Oz. Voted Best Fundraising Event & Party of Charleston 2024, the night promises to bring together more than 500 supporters for dinner, dancing, an entertaining program, and much more!
Limited single event tickets are available for purchase. Whether you’re following the yellow brick road solo or with companions, your presence helps to raise life-saving funds for the animals in their care. Get your tickets today!
A longtime CRUISERS NET SPONSOR, historic Edenton always has an exciting calendar of events and places to visit! Edenton is at the mouth of the Chowan River on the northwest shore of Albemarle Sound.
This is one of those community-defining annual events that draws people from all generations, making memories for kids, parents, and even grandparents.
In an age where it is so easy to lose touch with history, this is one of those events that brings everyone together and helps us all reminisce about childhood.
If you are planning to visit this area at the end of September, as many people do, consider stopping by the Chowan County Fair.
It doesn’t matter how old you are; you’ll be a kid again.
Elizabeth City sits at the southern terminus of the Dismal Swamp Canal and has the well-earned reputation of being a transient friendly town with free dockage for 72 hours.
Cozy vibes, waterfront breezes, and local charm await this October.
Autumn unwinds in Elizabeth City and you should too.
Our new self-service kayak kiosk allows users to quickly grab a kayak by downloading the Rent.Fun app. The kiosk brings a splash of adventure right to our community’s doorstep! Read more here.
September 29th through October 3rd 9 am – 4 pm, Arts of the Albemarle presents, Splash Week, a week long artist retreat for artists of all levels and disciplines to create in a communal studio. More information can be found here.
On Friday October 4th from 4 pm – 7 pm, Elizabeth City Downtown Inc. is hosting theFriday ArtWalk. Enjoy an evening downtown as local businesses feature guest artists. Browse downtown shops and dine at favorite restaurants. This event is free to attend.
October 10th and 11th at 5:30 pm, Step back in time with the
annual ECHNA Ghost Walk which blends historic home tours, immersive theatre, and local history into an unforgettable evening experience. Tickets are required for this event.
October 11th from 12 pm – 4 pm Hosted by Ghost Harbor Brewing Co. and Elizabeth City Downtown Inc., A thrilling mix of craft beer tasting, adventure, and a small business crawl. Teams race through downtown, solving challenges and collecting puzzle pieces.Tickets can be purchased here.
October 24th – 26th at 10 am Celebrate craftsmanship at the 65th Albemarle Craftsman’s Fair, three days filled with handmade artistry, live demonstrations, and one-of-a-kind finds. Tickets are required for this event.
October 30 at 7 pm, Elizabeth City State University Community Connections presents, Ailey II: The Next Generation of Dance. Where every performance inspires, captivates and moves audiences. Tickets can be purchased here.
Looking for a perfect place to stay? Explore our lodging accommodations and while you’re in town, discover our local shops and restaurantswaiting to welcome you!
Copyright (C) 2025, Visit Elizabeth City. All rights reserved.
Our mailing address is: Visit Elizabeth City 400 South Water Street Suite 100 Elizabeth City, NC 27909
This post contains interesting information for any U.S.-registered boat, especially if you are considering traveling to Cuba.
Cruisers Net publishes Loose Cannon articles with Captain Swanson’s permission in hopes that mariners with salt water in their veins will subscribe. $7 a month or $56 for the year, and you may cancel at any time.
Amokura was lost on Johnson Reef after grounding there on July 17, 2023.
Don’t blame us because you lost your boat, the Boy Scouts of America says, even though we were chartering her for our adventure-at-sea program: The skipper was to blame for the accident, and he was working for you, not us.
The Boy Scouts also advanced a couple of technical arguments for why a lawsuit against them should be thrown out of court. They are apparently arguing the suit was filed a day after the statute of limitations had expired, and, besides, it should have been filed in a county in Florida, not the U.S. Virgin Islands.
On July 17, 2023, Libbie Oliver’s Pearson 424 ran into a prominent reef of the island of St. John. According to Oliver’s lawsuit, filed on July 17, 2025, the captain was at fault, and he had been recommended by the Boy Scouts. Oliver also said the organization had failed to properly advise her about insurance.
The boat, named Amokura, remained stranded on Johnson Reef until she was ultimately destroyed by a storm in September 2023. Oliver wants the Scouts to compensate her for loss of the vessel, which she alleges happened when the captain stepped away and left one of the scouts at the helm.
Captain Timothy Frances Styles was hired by plaintiff making him plaintiff’s employee. The vessel grounded while under the command and supervision of Captain Styles. As such, the claims and damages alleged by plaintiff relate to the actions or inactions of plaintiff’s employee. Therefore, the claims brought against BSA must be dismissed with prejudice.
Opposing lawyers also argued that, under the contract between Oliver and the Scouts, disputes were to be decided according to Florida law and, if need be, adjudicated in a court in Monroe County in the Florida Keys. The also said:
Plaintiff failed to mitigate her damages by failing to engage a salvor/tow company to remove the vessel from its strand causing additional damages. Plaintiff was contributorily negligent as she failed to properly vet, train and/or supervise Captain Sayles and/or remove the vessel from its strand.
In her suit, Oliver argued that she couldn’t get Amokura towed off the reef because the recovery wasn’t covered under an insurance policy obtained from Offshore Risk Management, a company recommended to her by the Scouts. The scouts deny having made such a recommendation.
In their answer to the suit, the Scouts’ lawyers also said that both Florida and the U.S. Virgin Islands have a two-year statute of limitations on this type of action, which suggests that with both events—the wreck and the filing of suit—happening on July 17, the filing actually happened one day after the two-year statute had expired.
Amokura shown after striking Johnson Reef.
A lawyer who has nothing to do with the case suggested reasons why the statute-of-limitations article may not succeed. He said interpretation depends on individual court rules about counting time and whether weekends and holidays are included. Every state has slightly different language, he said.
Also, because the drama revolving around Amokura’s grounding continued for many days afterward, until her destruction, there is leeway as to when to begin the statute-of-limitations countdown.
LOOSE CANNON covers hard news, technical issues and nautical history. Every so often he tries to be funny. Subscribe for free to support the work. If you’ve been reading for a while—and you like it—consider upgrading to paid.
King Tide season starts this week. When to expect the highest high tide of the month
Nor’easters and gravity combine for annual fall flooding
There was flooding in St. Augustine in November as a King Tide coinciding with a nor’easter. (WJXT)
JACKSONVILLE, FLA – It’s that time during the start of fall when the highest tides of the year impact our area.
King tides are the extreme high tides that occur when the gravitational forces of the sun and moon align, resulting in the highest possible tides of the year.
Fall is prime time for these astronomical events in our region, with late September through November delivering the most pronounced tidal swings. These amplify flooding risk in low-lying areas—especially in coastal zones and the St. Johns.
This year’s Harvest Moon, rising closest to the autumnal equinox, adds extra lunar gravitational pull, supercharging tidal peaks. It will coincide with a developing nor’easter that is pushing water into the river from the onshore flow, resulting in tidally trapped water that I discussed last week.
Know Your High Tide Times: Be aware of when high tide is for your specific area so you know when to expect the highest water levels.
Week of September 11: Expected to bring the highest high tide of the month, reaching 6.57 feet above mean sea level (MSL) by 11:30 Thursday morning at the beaches.
Early October: The first full week continues the trend of high tide swings with frequent marsh inundation. Tides will reach 7 feet above MSL on October 8-9.
November 6: Notably, this is predicted to be the highest astronomical tide of the year at 7.19 feet above MSL at Jacksonville Beach. Expect substantial tidal flooding in vulnerable spots if rainfall or storm surge coincide.
Fred Pickhardt’s Substack is free today. But if you enjoyed this post, you can tell Fred Pickhardt’s Substack that their writing is valuable by pledging a future subscription. You won’t be charged unless they enable payments.
Hurricanes are a part of life for coastal communities, but what happens when the storms we thought we understood get a whole lot worse? Recently, a 2024 study in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences proposed something that might seem shocking: a new Category 6 for the most intense tropical cyclones, with wind speeds starting at 193 mph.
At first glance, this might seem like a natural step in the face of increasingly severe weather driven by climate change. But a closer look reveals a deeper conversation with a surprising twist: some experts say a new category might not actually help.
Current Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
The case for Category 6
Researchers behind the 2024 study argue that the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, which currently maxes out at Category 5 (for any storm with sustained winds of 157 mph or greater), is no longer sufficient. Their motivation is to more accurately communicate the extreme risks associated with today’s most powerful storms.
If a Category 6 were adopted, it would be reserved for the most extreme events. In fact, based on data from 1980 to 2021, the 2024 study identified five storms that would have met the criteria:
Super Typhoon Haiyan (2013): Struck the Philippines with 196 mph winds.
Hurricane Patricia (2015): Reached peak winds of 215 mph at sea in the Eastern Pacific.
Super Typhoon Meranti (2016): Had winds of 196 mph between the Philippines and Taiwan.
Super Typhoon Goni (2020): Made landfall in the Philippines with winds estimated at 196 mph.
Super Typhoon Surigae (2021): Reached wind speeds of 196 mph over the ocean east of the Philippines.
The argument against a new category
Despite the scientific motivation, the National Hurricane Center has not adopted Category 6, citing concerns that it could complicate public messaging.
Catastrophic is still catastrophic: One key argument is that the difference in damage between a high-end Category 5 and a high-end Category 6 is not meaningfully different in terms of public action. Both result in catastrophic destruction that requires immediate evacuation from vulnerable areas.
Damage is already “total”: Robert Simpson, a co-creator of the scale, argued that Category 6 is unnecessary because Category 5 already represents “total destruction”. The scale was designed to measure potential damage, and that potential doesn’t escalate in a way that warrants a new category once winds surpass the Cat 5 threshold.
It’s also important to note that the Saffir-Simpson scale is currently only used for hurricanes in the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific and 4 of the 5 noted storms in the study occurred in the western North Pacific and only one occurred in the eastern Pacific. To date, there have been no storms in the Atlantic that would have reached this level.
Global activity vs. increasing intensity.
So, what about climate change’s role in all of this? While you might assume we are seeing an overall increase in hurricane frequency, the reality is more nuanced. Data from climate scientist Ryan Maue, featured on climatlas.com/tropical, reveals no significant global trend in the number of hurricanes or major hurricanes over the long term. In fact, Maue has highlighted periods of notably low global hurricane activity. A 2022 study also found a decreasing trend in global hurricane numbers from 1990 to 2021.
The real story isn’t about more storms, but stronger ones. Climate change could fuel future more destructive hurricanes with stronger winds, higher storm surges, and heavier rainfall. Warmer ocean temperatures provide more energy for storms. This supercharges the storms, leading to increased intensity. Time will tell.
What does this mean for us?
The debate over Category 6 highlights a critical challenge: how do we best communicate the evolving risks of climate change? While adding a new category might sound alarming, it could also provide a more accurate picture of the intensity of a small minority of intense storms. For the Atlantic and East Pacific basins where the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale is used, there has only been one storm that reached this category in the eastern Pacific, and none have yet reached this level in the Atlantic.
Fred Pickhardt’s Substack is free today. But if you enjoyed this post, you can tell Fred Pickhardt’s Substack that their writing is valuable by pledging a future subscription. You won’t be charged unless they enable payments.
This post contains interesting information for any U.S.-registered boat, especially if you are considering traveling to Cuba.
Cruisers Net publishes Loose Cannon articles with Captain Swanson’s permission in hopes that mariners with salt water in their veins will subscribe. $7 a month or $56 for the year, and you may cancel at any time.
This photo, attributed by various news sites to Dan Wagner, shows Maine Inland Fisheries officers examining a Sea-Doo Switch that overturned Saturday on a lake in northwestern Maine.
A third person has died in the latest example of a Sea-Doo Switch flipping forward with awful consequences. This time, it happened on a lake in Maine, and this time it involved an 18-foot model, not a 13-footer.
And, this time, the hybrid jetski-pontoon craft was not operating at or over capacity. That is, there were seven people onboard while the posted capacity is eight people (or 1,155 pounds).
Here’s how Maine’s Inland Fisheries & Wildlife Department, which is investigating the accident, described events:
The boat was traveling towards Flagstaff Lake, and when they were in front of the beach area of the Cathedral Pines Campground, the bow of their pontoon boat started to go under. The driver, John Morris, age 50 of Eustis, attempted to raise the bow, but it continued to go under and the boat flipped, throwing all seven passengers into the water approximately 180 feet from shore.
According to an employee at the Eustis campground, campers rushed out to save passengers who had become trapped—as in prior accidents—underneath the overturned Switch. Fisheries & Wildlife spokesman Mark Latti would not confirm that, saying he would wait for investigators to make the determination.
John Morris, who can be described as an outdoorsman, did not respond to a text message. According to Inland Fisheries & Wildlife, alcohol is not believed to be a factor in the accident.
The family of Noor Nasir, 22, released this photo of her in a coma at a Maine hospital before she died overnight Tuesday-Wednesday.
Two of the passengers were pronounced dead at the scene—Farhana Nasir, 53, of Selden, New York and Kiran Akbar, 23, of Lake Grove, New York. The third victim, Noor Nasir, 22, also of New York was airlifted to Northern Light Eastern Maine Medical Center in Bangor, where she died early Wednesday.
CPR had been performed on all three at the scene, but they were not responsive, according to Inland Fisheries & Wildlife.
Latti would not say how Morris “attempted to raise the bow” once it began to go underwater, nor would he confirm whether the vessel was going slowly or decelerating, as was the case in 2024 Switch accidents in Virginia and Florida. He did say weather and lake conditions were not believed to be a factor.
Morris may indeed have been decelerating or driving slowly, however, given that he was passing in front of the Cathedral Pines Campground swimming area, and the boat was within Maine’s standing no-wake zone, which extends 200 feet from shore.
The Virginia accident took the life of a nine-year-old girl on Fourth of July, 2024 when the family’s 13-foot Switch overturned. Then, on Labor Day weekend 2024, a similar forward flip caused a 15-month-old Florida girl to nearly drown, leaving her with a lifelong “catastrophic anoxic brain injury.”
The Inland Fisheries & Wildlife news release answered a standard question raised by any boating accident: Were the people on board wearing lifejackets? In the Maine case, the answer was no. But it is worth noting that in both the Virginia and Florida accidents, the girls were wearing lifejackets, and that fact actually proved detrimental. Both were pinned to the floor of the overturned Switch by their buoyancy, making rescue more difficult and time consuming.
The Virginia family appears to have reached an out-of-court settlement with Switch manufacturer BRP. The William Grullon has filed a $30 million lawsuit against BRP, which is winding its way through Circuit Court in Jacksonville, Florida.
“They have a lot of explaining to do. So very sad for these families. This thing (the Switch) is like the Ford Pinto,” said Grullon lawyer Judd Rosen, responding to the latest accident. (The Pinto was a subcompact 1970s car that was the subject of 117 lawsuits alleging that a design defect allowed its gas tank to catch fire or explode even in low-impact rear-end collisions.)
Writing in the Grullon lawsuit against BRP, Rosen blamed water intrusion in the outer pontoons for Switch nosedives when decelerating:
Specifically, the defect in the subject Sea-Doo Switch was that it was designed in a manner where the vessel became unstable due to water shifting inside the pontoons during normal operation or changes of speed, water becoming trapped inside the pontoons such that it changed the buoyancy of the subject vessel, water becoming trapped inside the pontoons changing the center of gravity and stability of the vessel, an unstable design of the subject vessel such that it would lose buoyancy and become unstable during normal operation or changes in speed, defective and/or missing baffles inside the pontoons such that the vessel would become unstable as a result of foreseeable water intrusion.
This argument had echoed a theory advanced in Loose Cannon’s very first article on the Switch phenomenon:
In February, BRP announced a safety recall of all Switch models. “Improper distribution of passengers and cargo weight could overload the front of the watercraft and cause instability, nosediving and possibly lead to capsizing,” Sea-Doo said in the recall notice. “The condition worsens if water evacuation from the hull is not optimal. This could cause serious injuries or even death.”
The recall involved affixing a label warning against overloading the bow, and, according to owners on Facebook, the application of caulking on the outer hulls. BRP has also issued a new training video and updated the Switch manual, urging owners to review both. At one point, the manual warned owners not to try powering out of a nosedive, saying that accelerating would tend to plunge the bow down further.
The Switch in the Eustis accident was purchased in 2024 before the recall. Latti said investigators would determine whether it had undergone the recall work.
Latti also said his department’s investigators would not limit their inquiry to questions of human culpability but would report on whether they believed design factors contributed to the accident.
“There will be a very thorough investigation, and then we’ll do what we always do and sit down with the district attorney and determine any charges,” Latti said.
The Swich in the Maine accident before it was recovered by Maine Inland Fisheries & Wildlife.
LOOSE CANNON covers hard news, technical issues and nautical history. Sometimes he tries to be funny. Subscribe for free to support the work. If you’ve been reading for a while—and you like it—consider upgrading to paid.
Makers Air and Staniel Cay Yacht Club, A CRUISERS NET SPONSOR, offer convenient flights to the Bahamas.
Just in time for fall getaways, winter vacations, and spring breaks, The Bahamas Out Island Promotion Board $250 Air Creditis back — but only for a limited time!
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