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    • Unredeemed: Island Packet Owner’s Dream Turns Nightmarish – Loose Cannon

      Cruisers Net publishes Loose Cannon articles with Captain Swanson’s permission in hopes that mariners with

       

      Unredeemed: Island Packet Owner’s Dream Turns Nightmarish

        
       
         
       
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      Unredeemed: Island Packet Owner’s Dream Turns Nightmarish

      Says He Drank Cancer Soup from His Boat’s Water Tank. Now, HE Has To Pay IP $86,000

       
       
       
       
       

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      Mark and Susan Boyter enjoying the honeymoon period of boat ownership. It would not last.

      Mark Boyter was 65. He was a retired fighter pilot who had capped off his service, as one does, with a second career flying for an airline. Once truly retired, he and his wife Susan went about trying to fulfill their dream of sailing the Seven Seas.

      Honed by the U.S. Air Force, Boyter’s sense of excellence aligned perfectly with the reputation enjoyed by Island Packet Yachts of Largo Florida. In 2021, the Boyters commissioned the company to build them a 439 sloop. They would name their 47-footer Redeemed. The pricetag: $857,000.

      Five years later, the dream is dead, and the Boyters are feeling bettayed.

      Having to replace the engine because of an installation mistake was bad enough, but nothing like what came next. Boyter had spent nearly eight months drinking water from what an experts say was a poorly designed and defective water tank.

      All the while, according to lab testing, the unfinished fiberglass tank interior was leeching carcinogens. The tank was designed and fabricated by Island Packet, not outsourced.

      Boyter was twice hospitalized. Doctors put him on a detoxification regimen that began two years ago and continues to this day. Blood tests had shown a likely correlation with the high levels of toxic chemicals found in the water, they said.

      The good news, they told him, was that he did not have cancer.

      Naturally, Boyter’s first move had been to complain to the factory, but he said Island Packet President Darrell Allen ghosted him. He finally got IP’s attention when he sued them, but an arbitration clause in the sales contract took precedence over the formal lawsuit.

      Somehow, despite a pile of documentation, the Boyters lost the case, and the arbitrator awarded $86,000 to Island Packet for legal fees.

      This story was put together using a vessel survey, which included lab reports. It included doctor statements, interviews with two former Island Packet employees, correspondence with Island Packet owners, an evaluation by a leading expert on fiberglass tanks, and interviews with Boyter’s lawyer and a lawyer for Island Packet.

      And, of course, IP boss Darrell Allen was eager to talk. Allen, who bought the company with his wife in 2017, called everything you are about to read “B.S.” All you need to know, he said, is that Island Packet won in court.

      ‘Ugly Shit’

         
      This water tank is almost new but it shows signs of falling apart.

      “I was exposed to the water in the tank (by internal consumption) from 01 September 2022 until 23 April 2023. Both my wife and I were exposed to the water through washing dishes and occasional showers until we moved off the vessel on 09 June, 2023—281 days…One may wonder why my wife did not get sick form the water. The answer is that she was drinking canned LeCroix water exclusively.”—Mark Boyter, September 2026

      The Absent 25 Mil

      Twenty-five thousands of an inch—that can make the difference between drinking clean water or ingesting waterborne toxins that can cause organ failure and cancer. That is, 25 mils in the parlance of the boatbuilding world.

      Twenty-five mils is the thickness of two coats of food-safe gelcoat, which a boatbuilder fabricating fiberglass water tanks should routinely apply to isolate the structural glass fibers and resin from the contents of a tank.

      John Bannister is a well regarded marine surveyor working from Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. Bannister is a Coast Guard veteran, a licensed private investigator, a certified thermographer and advertises a specialty in the employment of consulting laboratories.

      Boyter noticed that water from the tank had a funky taste, and a “grey/pink fibrous substance” kept clogging Redeemed’s inline water filter.

      In May 2023, Boyter hired Bannister’s Suenos Azules Marine Surveying company to document a damage claim for problems with Redeemed’s Yanmar engine and a tank that produced foul-tasting water. The first step was to use a boroscope camera to inspect the inside to the tank while it was still intact. Later, the saloon floor was ripped out to remove the tank top for a better look.

      But, in between, water from the tank was sent to a testing lab. Results came back showing highly elevated levels of the following “plastic leachates”: Benzene, Bromochloromethane, Bromodichloromethane, Bromoform, Chloroform, Dibromochloromethane and Dibromomethane.

      Taken as a whole, according to the American Cancer Society, this mix can cause liver and kidney damage, bladder and other cancers, leukemia and a degradation of the human immune system.

      Bannister recommended the replacement of Redeemed’s Yanmar because an improperly installed exhaust system had allowed seawater to be sucked into the engine, causing corrosion throughout interior components.

      Similarly, he urged Boyter to remove the water tank and have a new one fabricated. Bannister said the tank failed to meet American Boat and Yacht Council’s voluntary standard for tankage, which says:

      Materials in contact with potable water shall be corrosion resistant and shall not render the water nonpotable, or impart any undesirable taste, odor, or color. Materials in contact with potable water shall be nontoxic and comply with the EPA Reduction of Lead in Drinking Water Act amendment to the Safe Drinking Water Act.”

      And, speaking of federal regulations, Redeemed’s water tank was an outright violation of those too, Bannister wrote in his survey report. “I believe the tank was not safe for water to be consumed by humans as per the safe water drinking standards by manufacturers as outlined in 40 CFR 143,” he said.

      Ken Fickett has been building fiberglass boats in Gainesville, Florida, since 1972—more than a thousand altogether. He has built racing sailboats, sportfish boats, flats fishing boats, experimental aircraft and a host of non-marine fiberglass components, but his company, Mirage Manufacturing, is best known today for its of line of full-displacement trawler yachts.

      He was an early adopter of integral fiberglass tanks, which, unlike standard aluminum tankage, have had a zero failure rate down through the decades. Fickett markets the tanks on his Great Harbour trawlers as “forever tanks.”

      Fickett’s first reaction to the survey photos of Redeemed’s water tank was succinct. “Ugly shit,” he called it.

      His second reaction was one of astonishment. Like many in the industry, he had always regarded Island Packet as a quality player. “I can’t believe it. I’d never, never imagine anything like that. That’s nuts,” Fickett said, referring to images of raw fiberglass.

      A former Island Packet employee said the 250-gallon water tanks have been made using resin and glass fiber material over two male molds—the tank itself and a lid. There is never a food-safe coating applied, but this person said the parts are then baked, presumably to speed resin curing.

      Boyter’s surveyor noted that baffles in the tank were made of plate aluminum, tabbed to the tank structure, which thermal imaging indicated was failing in several places.

      Even so, according to the former employee, he had never heard of an owner complaining about water tanks over the dozens that had been built during his tenure.

      This was echoed by Allen. “That water tank had been built for 15 years before I took over Island Packet. (IP founder) Bob Johnson installed that water tank in probably 2,000 boats. Exactly the same,” he said. “We used the proper resins. We did what we were supposed to do.”

      Two things about aluminum, Fickett said: Unlike glass on glass, resin will not chemically bond a glass-fiber surface to aluminum. Secondly, aluminum corrosion is accelerated by exposure the chlorinated municipal water, which is what fills most boat water tanks.

      Baking tank components may slow the rate at which chemicals leech into the water, but it will not eliminate the process entirely, Fickett said. He estimated that Island Packet’s cost to paint the interior of a 250-gallon tank with a coating approved for potable water would be about $50 for materials and labor.

      That’s now a moot point, according to Allen. He said the company will no longer make its own fiberglass tanks, but not because there was anything unsafe about them. He said it was just cheaper to go with polyethylene water tanks. These are typically rotationally molded from FDA approved plastic free from harmful chemicals.

      Interviews with two former employees suggested that the Island Packet production under its current administration has been chaotic, plagued by high employee turnover. “It’s a clusterfuck,” one of them said.

      This raises the possibility that, in the case of Redeemed, the step that involved baking the water-tank components may have been skipped entirely. The surveyor’s report characterized the tank as “unfinished.”

      At this point, some readers may be asking why Boyter was willing to keep drinking water that must have tasted bad. Boyter is a skilled aircraft pilot, and therefore he is not dumb. He is, however, a novice when it comes to cruising craft.

      Boyter was cruising when he first noticed what he described as a “citrus-sweet taste” in water coming from the boat’s tap at the beginning of April 2023—eight months into their time on board. The water had no odor, however, and at the time it looked clean.

      He said he asked other cruisers for advice and was told that maybe they had taken on some water contaminated with algae. “We thought that we had pumped bad water into the tank. Who could conceive that the supposedly safe potable water tank was literally coming apart beneath our feet?” Boyter said.

      It was only later when the inline filter became clogged with fiberglass crud—those pink-grey fibers—did the Boyters realize the extent of their problem. And the taste was getting worse.

      They took the boat to Stuart, Florida, where they hired surveyor John Bannister. On June 9, 2023, the Boyters moved their belongings off the boat and drove to Colorado to stay with relatives, having concluded that Redeemed was “unsafe and uninhabitable.”

      Yesterday, Allen suggested that the surveyor photos of Redeemed’s water tanks had been somehow falsified. He had agreed to an audio recorded interview, from which this is drawn:

      Darrell Allen: How do we know that those pictures are even our tanks?

      Loose Cannon: So what you’re saying is that the surveyor falsified his survey?

      Allen: I don’t know who falsified it. I can’t say that.

      L.C.: Because he’s the one that took the pictures.

      Allen: How does he know that tank was even in the boat? He didn’t see it when it was in the boat.

      L.C.: Well, the pictures are of it in the boat. You haven’t seen the pictures?

      Allen: No, I didn’t. I have not seen the pictures.

      L.C.: Have you got a copy of that survey? You must have. They must have thrown it at you at some point.

      Allen: No, we don’t have a copy of the survey. We went over with our own surveyor and did our own survey, but we were not. We didn’t. We’re not given access to the water tank.

      L.C.: All right, so you’ve never seen that survey.

      Allen: I didn’t think I needed to. I wouldn’t have trusted their surveyor anyway.

      Six Months To Live

      Dr. Gina Dattoli practices family medicine near Denver. Dattoli first met with Boyter on December 23, 2023 and prescribed a detox kit of over-the-counter medicine and a drug called Ketotifen. Though unsaid at the time, she later told Boyter she believed he would likely be dead within six months. In January 2025, Dattoli wrote:

      (Mark) came to me with extreme symptoms of stomach/intestinal irritation, urinary symptoms. Labs showing liver/gall bladder damage with high AST, ALT and LDH, along with high bilirubin. These findings are consistent with damage from contaminated drinking water. Namely chemicals such as benzene, bromodichloromethane, bromoform, chloroform, dibromochloromethane and dibromomethane cause gastric irritation and liver damage.

      For treatment, I began to work on detoxing the chemicals. We had to start very slow (most patients are able to do the treatment twice daily, with Mark we had to do the treatment once every four days). We weren’t able the do the treatment any faster because

      Mark developed what is called a Herxheimer reaction. We see this reaction when the toxin burden is too high for the liver and it gets overwhelmed. Despite having to go slowly on the detox protocol, we have gotten tremendous improvement in symptoms. It will likely take another six to nine months of treatment before we achieve full healing.

      The surgeon who performed a biopsy on Boyter’s bladder, Dr. Michael Lee wrote a note explaining the results from the May 2025 procedure:

      Just as suspected, there was evidence of some inflammation and congestion, which probably correlates well with toxic exposures that you received related to your boat.

      In any case, there was no evidence of cancer. Certainly, this is great!

      Boyter said he will be adhering to a detoxification regimen for at least another two years, but the worst is behind him.

      Justice, or Not

      Mark Boyter said he tried to have a conversation with Darrell Allen about the problems with Redeemed, but Allen would not return his calls. He hired Admiralty lawyers in Stuart, Florida, who wrote a demand letter to Island Packet in December 2023—sent via FedEx with proof of delivery. Still no response.

      Boyter had spent more than $150,000 of his own money to have a boatyard install a new engine and water tank in Redeemed.

      That lawyer retired, so Boyter hired a new advocate. He hired a consumer protection attorney in St. Petersburg named Aldo Bolliger.

      On April 30, 2024, Bolliger filed a lawsuit on behalf of the Boyters in the Pinellas County Circuit Court, alleging serious defects under the federal Magnuson-Moss Warranty Act and under Florida products-liability law. He said his client’s “faith in the vessel has been shaken, irreparably harmed, and the vessel’s value has been affected.”

      At this point, Island Packet responded, and its lawyers presented IP’s contract with the Boyters, which had a standard arbitration clause. Such clauses trump formal litigation, and the lawsuit was put on hold while arbitration was underway.

      Long story short: Arbitrator Lori Adelson ruled in favor of Island Packet and awarded the attorney fees to the company.

      According to Bolliger and Boyter, the case never got to a point where the actual merits were discussed. Adelson never heard arguments about the engine installation case, the toxic water tank or other less series issues. Bolliger ruled against the Boyters in a series of procedural questions.

      “We never got to the merits whatsoever,” Bolliger said. “All of this was wrangling, and basically this case got chopped up, and they got rid of the main claim, the breach-of-warranty claim.”

      According to Bolliger, arbitrator Adelson upheld Island Packet when it was argued that Darrell Allen never saw the Boyters’ demand letter from December 2023, even though someone at the factory had signed for it.

      Island Packet’s lawyer would not directly address Bolliger’s contention that actual facts were never addressed. He insisted that the Boyters lost simply because they didn’t have a good case.

      Allen and his lawyer both accused the Boyter side of having “destroyed evidence.”

      According to Boyter, the old water tank had to be ripped out the boat in pieces, and even though the yard workers had been told to preserve those pieces, they looked like trash and were thrown away.

      Adelson entertained IP’s lawyers’ contention that this constituted destruction of evidence, even though the state of the tank had been documented in photos, video and by lab tested water samples.

      When Bolliger tried to get evidence from a new Boyter doctor admitted, Adelson said no; the deadline had passed.

      Boyter and Bolliger said something was fishy about about bringing in an arbitrator from Pompano Beach on the other side of the Florida peninsula, when there were probably dozens of arbitrators around Tampa-St. Pete who could have heard the case. They objected, but the defendants were happy with the choice, and she stayed on.

      Boyter called the arbitration system “corrupt.” Bolliger was more phlegmatic as he explained why so many big-ticket purchase contracts contain an arbitration clause:

      This type of stuff is not unique. The repeat customer in arbitration is the business, not the consumer. And so I’ve had a lot of negative experiences with arbitration, especially in front of the AAA, the American Arbitration Association. They only hire the most conservative arbitrators.

      Systemic predilections aside, Bolliger called Adelson “the most unprofessional arbitrator I’ve ever had.”

      The case of Boyter v. Island Packet ended earlier this month. According to Bolliger, the Boyters have the option to appeal to a higher state court or file a federal case, but the process has worn them down.

      “He already has an $86,000 judgment outstanding against him. Does he really want to go and litigate again?” Bolliger said. “He’s kind of gun-shy, and I think his wife wants everything behind them. I don’t think she wants him to litigate again.”

      (Allen insisted the attorney-fee amount was $160,000, not $86,000. The most recent court document that listed dollar figures showed $100,698, and a subsequent document mentioned a further reduction but not by how much.)

      Whistleblower

      Paulo Bonelli is a fired ex-Island Packet employee living in Clearwater, Florida. And he is a whistleblower. Bonelli was a salaried employee, hired in September 2023 as product delivery manager. His job included helping to correct the “punchlist” of problems that accompany any new boat.

      Bonelli later made “protected disclosures” to the U.S. Coast Guard that gained him official protection under federal statutes that forbid retaliation against employees who speak out about their boses.

      OSHA, the federal agency whose mission is worker protection, was unable to determine whether Bonelli’s firing was retaliatory or not and told him he would have to plead his case before an administrative law judge.

      Bonelli did not, but he is still considered a whistleblower by the feds and under the plain English meaning of the word. His allegations against Island Packet and Darrell Allen include, among other things:

      • Failure to report a possible fleetwide critical safety defect to potentially affected owners, after one owner’s steering failed. IP also failed to report it to the U.S. Coast Guard, which, according to Bonelli, was a violation of federal statutes, namely 46 U.S.C § 4310(b).
      • How Allen instructed Bonelli not to tell Boyter or other owners about the steering failure.
      • How Allen instructed Bonelli not to tell Boyter that Redeemed’s engine problems had been determined to be the result of an improperly installed exhaust system. He was told to chalk it up to “operator error” instead.

      Bonelli included the steering problem, Boyter’s engine problem and a third problem as examples of IP’s failure to disclose or report critical issues to the Coast Guard, so he reported them to the Coast Guard himself.

      The Coast Guard followed up, but nothing much came of it.

      Bonelli also helped Boyter identify the problems with his engine and water tanks early on. He said Redeemed’s engine and tank issues was discussed during some of Island Packet’s thrice weekly production meetings.

      Bonelli doesn’t believe Allen’s contention that he never saw the Boyter’s notice of claim delivered by FedEx.

      “The reason (Allen) didn’t go and honor Mark’s warranty is because he was broke. He had no money. He couldn’t afford to replace an engine and a tank,” Bonelli told Loose Cannon.

      “That’s a lie,” Allen said. “I just bought a three-and-a-half-million-dollar facility and put one and a half million dollars down on it.”

         
      Darrell Allen, left, in a recent YouTube video about his company’s new factory, entitled “Island Packet Yachts Saturday Tour with a friend.”

      To back up his claim that IP had been suffering financially, Bonelli cited financing that Allen had obtained at a loanshark interest rate of 68 percent.

      The existence of this loan became public after the lender—ODK Capital aka OnDeck—sued Island Packet and Allen in Pinellas County Circuit Court in August 2025, alleging that the defendants had stopped making their $5,000-a-week payments.

         

      The date of the loan was April 9, 2025, around the same time as the Boyter lawsuit against IP was being put on hold and arbitration was about to begin. Such an extraordinarily high interest rate begs the question of why anyone would take out such a loan if there were any alternative.

      Allen would not address that question because he said no such loan existed. That was his first position, anyway. From the transcript:

      Loose Cannon: What was that OnDeck loan about then? That was like 68 percent interest.

      Darrell Allen: That wasn’t even real.

      L.C.: That wasn’t real? They sued you.

      Allen: No. No.

      L.C.: You didn’t, you didn’t take that loan out?

      Allen: No.

      L.C.: Why did they sue you?

      Allen: They didn’t sue me. I was never sued by OnDeck.

      L.C.: Was it Island Packet that was sued then?

      Allen: No.

      L.C.: I mean, I’ve got the lawsuit.

      Allen: There is no lawsuit out there.

      L.C.: Okay?

      Allen: That lawsuit was dismissed.

      L.C. Okay? There was a lawsuit.

      Allen: It was dismissed. A lawsuit when it was first brought up, and it’s dismissed. It’s not a lawsuit. I can go file a lawsuit against you. Does that make it real?

      L.C.: Well, it means that there’s lawsuit filed against me.

      Allen: Okay, so what does that mean? Means I paid an attorney to file a lawsuit.

      L.C.: So why did this company say that you owed them, weren’t repaying a loan that you made with them?

      Allen: That’s not true at all.

         

      OnDeck’s lawsuit was eventually dismissed. Court documents show OnDeck receiving a final $239,000 payment (including $56,000 in interest) in July 2025.

      Bonelli’s statements support the narrative that Island Packet’s production system was chaotic and lacked the kind of quality control that might have prevented Redeemed’s numerous problems, including the engine and tank issues.

      While it is not unusual for a new boat punchlist to cite two or even three dozen problems, Bonelli said some owners had boats with more than 100. “There’s just absolutely zero quality control at the factory,” he said.

      This narrative is supported by a second former Island Packet employee, who spoke to Loose Cannon at length on the condition that his name not be used.

      Sometimes, Bonelli said, he would help owners fix problems that the factory was unaware of or would not acknowlege.

      According to Bonelli, one of his previous jobs, while living in Texas, was as a civil rights investigator. Bonelli’s statements suggest that he felt more loyalty toward IP’s customers than the company itself.

      And that became readily apparent to his bosses.

      “Paulo’s an idiot,” Allen said. “We fired him because he screwed everything up that we gave him to do. And he became friends with the Boyters because he doesn’t like us.”

      Darrell Allen and ‘Kahunas’

      The president of Island Packet attributed the Boyters predicament to their own character flaws. The retired couple had made no secret that they had hoped to use Redeemed as a platform for missionary work in remote places of the South Pacific.

      In his Loose Cannon interview yesterday, Allen repeatedly suggested the retired fighter pilot and his wife lacked the “kahunas” for a bluewater lifestyle.

      (Cojones, maybe?)

      “Let me tell you my side of it. When I sold the boat to Mark and Sue Boyter, I knew they didn’t have the kahunas to go cruising around the world and save the natives and give bibles to everybody,” Allen said.

      Allen said the water tank and engine problems were a mere pretext after they lost their will or sense of purpose. He said he offered to buy them out when the engine and tank issues first came to his attention. From the transcript:

      When it became obvious that the Boyers did not have the kahunas to do what they wanted, I reached out to them and said, “Look, let me sell the boat for you at a reduced commission and I’ll get you back every bit of your money…Every, every dollar of your money.

      And they refused to even listen to me because (a boatyard) had convinced them that all their problems were the boat, not themselves personally. And that’s exactly what Mark Boyter wanted to hear. Because he’s the type that nothing’s ever his fault, okay? He would never admit that he didn’t have the kahunas to take the boat offshore, out of sight of land.

      During the portion of the interview about the OnDeck lawsuit, Allen seems to have become agitated, then issuing a warning to Loose Cannon. The following exchange refers to the vessel Salamander and her owners, a couple named Atkinson. (Their story is for tomorrow.)

      From the transcript:

      Darrell Allen: I’ll take you on…Okay? If you want to take on Island Packet, we’re ready. We have proof. And we can prove we’ve done everything right. Okay? So I’ll take you on if you want to do that.

      Loose Cannon: What do you mean, take me on?

      Allen: If you publish anything that’s derogatory against us, I’ll take you on, just like I did the Boyters, and I proved the Atkinsons wrong as well. Okay? That’s the people that own Salamander.

      L.C.: Okay, got it. So, you’re threatening me?

      Allen: No, I’m not threatening you at all. I’m just saying we have proof that we’ve done nothing wrong.

      ‘Redeemed’

      Unloved, she lies at Bruswick, Georgia, sporting a new Beta Marine engine and a new water tank. Redeemed has been listed for sale with a broker in Stuart, Florida; she is listed for $988,759.

      Boyter said his wife may never get on any boat ever again.

      Obviously, a story like this is not going to help the Boyters sell their boat. Even so, Mark Boyter said he cooperated because he wants to get the word out:

      My concern is that other Island Packets have water tanks that have yet to delaminate. The unprotected resin in our tank began to break down almost immediately. Depending on how lucky you were with the resin used the day your particular tank was constructed, many other owners and their guest could be exposed at some undetermined point in the future.

      Likewise, the same with other engine installations. The only way an Island Packet 439 owner can be assured that their boat is Darrel Allen-proof is to have the engine and water tanks borescoped and to have oil and water samples taken. Then, if problems are found the only way to guarantee a a reliable main engine is to repower. The only way to ensure safe potable water is to cut out the sole in the saloon and install a food-grade water tank. Both of which we have done.

      The problem is that Island Packet did not inform other 439 owners of these issues. Owners may get sick without warning or even knowing WHY they are sick. Murphy’s Law says that their engines will fail when most needed.

         
      Beneath this saloon sole lies a brand new water tank.

      LOOSE CANNON covers hard news, technical issues and nautical history. Every so often he tries to be funny. Subscribe for free to support the work. If you’ve been reading for a while—and you like it—consider upgrading to paid.

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    • East Coast Storm Update. – Fred Pickhardt


      Fred Pickhardt’s Substack is free today. But if you enjoyed this post, you can tell Fred Pickhardt’s Substack that their writing is valuable by pledging a future subscription. You won’t be charged unless they enable payments.

       
         
       
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      East Coast Storm Update.

      Widespread coastal flooding

       
       
       
       
       

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      An intense extratropical storm low off the Mid-Atlantic coast continues to drift slowly north at about 5 knots. Winds of 40 to 55 knots are producing significant wave heights of 4-9 meters within about 180 nm west and 240 NM north of the center.

         
        

      This system is expected to become semi-stationary just off the NJ coast then gradually weaken and drift northwest to near NYC by early Monday.

      Large areas of the Mid-Atlantic coast from Cape Hatteras to southern New England are being affected by strong winds and major coastal flooding.

         

      NOAA Ocean Prediction Center

      NOAA High Seas Forecast

      NOAA Offshore Forecasts

      NOAA US Coastal Waters Forecasts

      Ocean Weather Services

      Forensic Marine Weather Expert

       

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    • Why AI Has Trouble Predicting the Fury of Hurricane Intensity – Loose Cannon

      Cruisers Net publishes Loose Cannon articles with Captain Swanson’s permission in hopes that mariners with

       

         
       
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      When all else fails, try journalism.


      Why AI Has Trouble Predicting the Fury of Hurricane Intensity

      Tropical Storm Polo Accelerated to Category 5 in 24 Hours

       
       
       
       
       

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      Hurricane Irma rapidly intensified before hitting the Caribbean and Florida in 2017, but intensity is still hard to forecast. (NASA photo)

      The author is an associate professor of Atmospheric Science at Indiana University. This story was first published on September 23, 2026 in The Conversation news outlet and is reprinted here with permission.


      By CHANH KIEU

      Artificial intelligence has revolutionized weather forecasting in just a few years, with global AI weather models now able to produce forecasts that rival some of the world’s best physics-based prediction systems.

      This remarkable progress has been driven by three factors: massive amounts of weather data, advances in AI models and unprecedented computational power. While most of the current discussion on improving AI for weather focuses on the models or new hardware, the data is crucial.

      At the global scale, AI has benefited from decades of climate and weather records covering the entire Earth. These datasets contain millions of examples of how atmospheric conditions evolve with time, allowing AI models to learn patterns in a way that would have been impossible a decade ago.

      But when you zoom in from the global scale to the regional scale, forecasts start to be much more challenging for AI.

      That difference matters for forecasting hurricane intensity.

      The world has seen many hurricanes rapidly intensify in recent years, strengthening from relatively weak storms into destructive monsters in a matter of hours. Hurricane Polo did it off Mexico’s Pacific coast as it rapidly strengthened from a tropical storm earlier this week, to a powerful Category 5 hurricane in 24 hours. Polo quickly became one of the strongest Pacific storms in decades, with winds reaching 180 mph.

      When rapid intensification surprises forecasters—as Hurricane Michael did in 2018 when it grew into a destructive Category 5 hurricane right before hitting Tyndall Air Force Base and Mexico Beach, Florida, in 2018—communities can be left with too little time to evacuate and prepare.

      Struggling With Detail

      Unlike global weather forecasts, hurricane intensity forecasts are often considered a regional forecasting problem. Regional forecasts are often concerned with extreme events, such as heavy rainfall, squall lines, severe thunderstorms or hurricanes.

      These extreme events often develop rapidly or move quickly over short periods of time. Capturing such behavior in AI models requires data in much greater detail than current global datasets can typically provide.

      Share

      When scientists train AI models to predict hurricane intensity, they usually rely on two sources of data.

      The first is observations, which include measurements of rainfall, near-surface temperature, wind speed and other weather variables collected from weather stations, radars, buoys and satellites. Such direct observations can be detailed, but they are often limited to near-coastal regions and unevenly distributed, while many of the most important stages of hurricane development occur over the open ocean where direct observations are sparse.

      Modern satellites can help fill some of these gaps in the open ocean, but they can help estimate only part of the rainfall, surface winds or cloud-top temperatures due to limits in satellite coverage. In particular, they cannot simultaneously scan a complete three-dimensional structure of every hurricane around the globe. At present, even the best observational systems provide only a partial view of hurricanes at any point in time.

        A satellite image with a cross section of a hurricane.  
      Scientists used satellite data to map aspects of Hurricane Matthew’s intensity as it gained strength on its way toward the Florida Panhandle in 2016. NASA’s Scientific Visualization Studio

      The second source of training data comes from weather model simulations, which combine atmospheric conditions and knowledge of physics to provide the most complete three-dimensional picture of the atmosphere at high resolution.

      However, this simulated data is not perfect either, because all computer models contain approximations and uncertainties arising from incomplete knowledge of the Earth’s atmosphere. As such, there are always fine-scale processes that model simulations cannot capture.

      So, we simply don’t have a good full, three-dimensional dataset to train an AI model for hurricane intensity prediction at present.

      Chaos Challenge

      But data is not the only issue for AI hurricane prediction.

      Suppose in the future scientists could measure the entirety of a storm, measured every second, for thousands of storms around the world. That still might not allow AI to predict hurricane intensity perfectly. The reason: chaos. Tiny differences in the initial state of a hurricane can quickly grow over time.

      My recent research with colleagues suggests that hurricanes may contain some element of chaos that can prevent AI models from accurately predicting hurricane intensity at long forecast times.

      Once embedded in a favorable environment, a tropical storm can intensify toward a maximum possible strength. Scientists call this upper limit the potential intensity. It is determined primarily by the surrounding environment. For example, warm ocean water can fuel a hurricane’s intensity, or wind shear can slow down a hurricane’s development. If the ocean temperature rises, the potential intensity of a hurricane increases, too.

      Any small disturbances will also cause the hurricane intensity to fluctuate. The warmer the ocean surface, the more fluctuations.

       A chart shows the disagreement among models about hurricane intensity 
      Computer simulations show how forecasting a hurricane’s intensity becomes more uncertain the further out the forecast is. Hurricane intensity is measured as the maximum wind at the height of 33 feet (10 meters). The images show how much two hurricanes can differ in their physical appearance, even when they have the same Category 5 intensity. Chanh Kieu

      Recent studies have proposed that these fluctuations are not purely random but occur within what is known as a chaotic attractor—a set of possible storm states within which the hurricane can evolve unpredictably. Although the existence of such a chaotic intensity attractor has not yet been fully established, it presents a fundamental dilemma for training AI models to predict hurricane intensity.

      On one hand, scientists want AI models to make the most accurate predictions possible. Thus, during training the goal is to minimize the difference between the forecast and what actually happens until an AI model achieves the smallest possible error.

      On the other hand, we also want the AI model to capture the hurricane’s intrinsic chaos. But if an AI model can capture this chaos, then its error cannot be reduced indefinitely. So, an AI model trained to minimize forecast error may learn the most likely evolution of a hurricane while smoothing out unpredictable fluctuations. In this regard, these two goals compete with one another.

      With data always containing some uncertainty, the rules an AI model learns are only approximated. The accuracy of hurricane intensity forecast will therefore get worse after just a few days.

      Making Better Forecasts

      The challenge for AI models to predict hurricane intensity is not just about obtaining more data, building better neural networks or deploying faster computers. It is also about understanding hurricane behaviors and how chaos in intensity emerges.

      Both dictate whether AI models can learn what is predictable and what is unpredictable. That distinction not only puts a cap on our current hurricane intensity forecast accuracy but also determines the next generation of weather forecasting and evaluation systems, which should focus on a range of possible hurricane intensities and their probabilities instead of a single intensity number.

      LOOSE CANNON covers hard news, technical issues and nautical history. Every so often he tries to be funny. Subscribe for free to support the work. If you’ve been reading for a while—and you like it—consider upgrading to paid.


         
         
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    • VOLUNTARY SWEATSHOP – Janice Anne Wheeler, Sparring With Mother Nature

       
       
         
       
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      Solstice brought monumental change; a not-so-gentle reminder of who’s in charge…

         
      STEADFAST is the white dot at the end of Washington

      Every day, in every way, we all SPAR WITH MOTHER NATURE: our health, environment, winds, rain and sunshine. Thanks for helping this publication grow. ~J

      If you have just joined our engaging little community, please read SPARS & SPARRING as an introduction to my watery world. I’m glad you climbed aboard!

       


      VOLUNTARY SWEATSHOP

      Learning a new skill can exponentially multiply respect for those who do it well

       
       
       
       
       

      READ IN APP

       
       Listen to post · 9:35

      If you prefer, you can listen to me read the story, right up there~

      There’s always something to be done. That’s life anywhere. Some of it can be put off, and some of it can’t. When one resides on a boat, any sort of boat, I believe, this boring dash of wisdom is even more relentless. Some days, I get stubborn; Virgo-esque, you might say, (there was more on that last week) and simply decide that I’m going to accomplish one of my bullet list items, regardless. Regardless of the odds against it.

      You may be intuitive enough to realize these rodeos are not infrequent. I could say, “This is not my first rodeo,” but that just makes me look defiant and once again annoyed that a skill I thought would take just a bit of practice to perfect is rather (or vastly) more complicated to cultivate. Years of practice at this stubborn method has astonishingly not quelled my need to go through this oft-discouraging process. (A giant organic garden in the high desert of Colorado? How hard could it be?…). It was really hard.

      My Colorado farmhouse—left half acre: chicken coop, greenhouse, raised beds. After years, the heirlooms loved it & 600# of butternut squash can’t be wrong…but yes, it tookyears.

      Many humans I know and like possess these mule-like qualities, and I have yet to figure out why boat tasks seem so much harder than all the other things I have attempted. I may not have the know-how, tools, equipment, location, disposition or climate to accomplish said task, but I dive head-long into the endeavor. In every instance everything takes longer than anticipated. While that may be for an assortment of reasons, it’s often because SPARRING WITH MOTHER NATURE comes first. Last week, it was the sweat running into my eyes regardless of sun cover and portable fan.

      Therefore, I’m calling this particular rodeo installment a Voluntary Sweatshop, an oxymoron, to be sure, and no offense is intended to anyone, anywhere, as always. My task appeared ordinarily surmountable. Every sailboat in the world has one or two and they’re not particularly interesting or exciting, simply utilitarian canvas and classically matching the style and decor of the vessel. As is often the case, STEADFAST’s are larger than most, and more complicated. Nevertheless, dive I do, but not before purchasing a demo, if you will, the Main sail cover, from the well-known sewer of all things boat, Chesapeake Sailmakers in Annapolis, Maryland. When that creator inquired, I confided that I wanted to achieve a portion of his skill and so had decided to create the Mizzen sail cover on my own. I can remember him gazing down at me and nodding his head, a cross between, “Oh yeah?” and utter amazement. My still-freshly-and-inexplicably-confidant self muttered, “I got this.”

         
      The first step, cutting 8M into what I needed.

      Years ago now I purchased a Sailrite (brand) sewing machine which is wonderful and wholly inadequate for doing anything that has any bulk whatsoever while weighing a dense, substantial and hard-to manage sixty-five pounds. Portable? Sort of, if I can get my quads under it. STEADFAST’s Mizzen Mast boom is just over sixteen feet long with an average circumference of three. There is exactly nowhere on this vessel that I could possibly lay out the original raw cloth, five feet by twenty-four(8M). So. Outside we went. Heat index 103F/39+C. Humidity 85%+. The instructional video to sew a slightly smaller version of this sail cover is one hour and twenty-two minutes. Now, of course, even as a natural grayish-blonde, I knew that was edited. I didn’t know the project would turn yours truly into an impatient little grease spot. And I don’t even think I’m impatient.

      Notice that once more the word “Feasible” appears in the background, It is the first word I see, most days. In this case “Rookie” also slipped into the image…

      On the first day, watched the video, cut fabric with hot knife, organized myself and was ready to git ‘er done! Honestly, the basics are not difficult, double hems around the edges and ends, zippered front side, I added reinforcement with Textilene open mesh plastic to reduce chafing and increase strength. Good thing, too, because this is the only one of these I am EVER going to sew **.

      On the second day, I watched video sixteen more times(at least) and I bestowed the term voluntary sweatshop. If I complained, it would have been quickly pointed out to me that I had, indeed, volunteered for this particular larger-than-me task. The six covered zippers that allow the lazy-jack lines through are stupidly complicated, in this chef’s opinion. At one point I donned the cover to test the longest zipper, appearing for all intents and purposes like Sesame Street character Snuffleupagus. I decided not to capture that moment for perpetuity.

      NOT terribly interesting truly; stick around for wry humor and self-deprication.

      I’m so pleased you’ve read this far! Late afternoon on the sixth day (yes, sixth, remember that 82-minute video…) my landlord strode around the corner into our little waterside world. I was bent over two abused sawhorses and a piece of splintering plywood, facing both her entrance point and my sewing machine, fabrics spread out from hell to breakfast, scraps and tools everywhere, sweat dripping, hair a frightening frizz, feeling too old, tired and thirsty to be trying to get one more row of stitches to line up with all the other freakin’ rows of stitches on what felt like miles of canvas. I don’t think either of us could have been more surprised.

      “You have a sewing machine. On your boat,” she said by way of greeting. Caught off guard, I nodded. As always, she was cool, calm, groomed, dressed meticulously and self-assured. Distressingly so, in this case. She is the impressive, somewhat unexpected Chair of the Board of Directors for Richardson Maritime Museum where STEADFAST is docked; with her administration we are allowed generous access to a roomy bulkhead slip and the adjoining portion of ground which we utilize for work and play, some days more than others. To my increasing dismay with a dash of amusement, I looked past my workspace to realize this was one of those maxxed-out days—there was boat gear everywhere.

      After a quick conversation where I tried awkwardly to look a little less wet, tame my curls and cover my discomfiture with what had instantly (but not previously) struck me as a completely unconventional activity, she continued on her way to a far more traditional home. FFS, I said to myself, trying to decide if I should be embarrassed or proud or just laugh at the stark differences between strong women at the same address. I laughed. Surprise can be such a reset, can’t it? We can’t take any of these things too seriously.

      My voluntary sweatshop days are over with the fast-moving, early-season, bone-chilling Nor’Easter/Tropical Storm combo just offshore in the Western North Atlantic. (Pictured at the top of your emails). A forty-degree temp drop had me digging for my Smartwool socks, and I’m wearing them as I type this to you in your vast assortment of latitudes and climates.

      Whatever will eventually happen is (nearly) always worth the wait, that cooler air is delightful, but it does seem to be an all-or-nothing world, doesn’t it?

      Until next week, enjoy your corner of it! ~J


      *I wrote about Deadrise-style FEASIBLE last year; a captivating, traditional, neglected little Watermen work boat, waiting to be saved. She most certainly has a story.

      FEASIBLE
       

      FEASIBLE

       
      ·
       
      October 12, 2025
      Read full story

      ** As always when I learn a new skill, my respect grows for those who do it well. Raise a toast to seamstresses and other masters of keeping us clothed, protected and looking good.


      Watch for the final edition of the very popular

      PenPal Series Opposite Latitudes, Parallel Attitudes !

         

      Think my work is share-worthy? Please hit the round arrow icon, a coveted Re-stack. Or maybe you have a stitcher (sewer seems weird) in your midst? Have they ever taken their task outside? I’d guess not. Life of a liveaboard!

      There is no box around this floating crewmember. Nor you fine readers, I imagine.

      Rock on!

       

      I so appreciate your support of my work. Saving a piece of maritime history is far more complicated than I ever imagined!

         

       

       
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      © 2026 Janice Anne Wheeler
      HOME IS WHERE WE DROP THE ANCHOR., Annapolis, Maryland, USA
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    • Is That Sailor Rock? Turn It Up! – Loose Cannon

      Cruisers Net publishes Loose Cannon articles with Captain Swanson’s permission in hopes that mariners with

         
       
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      When all else fails, try journalism.


      Is That Sailor Rock? Turn It Up!

      ‘Resourceful Sailor’ Lists the His Top Ten Songs, and More

       
       
       
       
       

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      The author writes the “Resourceful Sailor” series of articles on the Small Craft Advisor Substack, which first published this article on September 20, 2026. Small Craft Advisor by Josh Colvin is Loose Cannon’s bestest Substack friend, having sent more readers our way than any other single source.


      By JOSHUA WHEELER

      A professor of mine in college would say that there wasn’t music that sucked, only music we didn’t like. With that, I present a list of my top sailor songs. I would be amazed if anyone had the same list as I. Equally so, if anyone liked every song. I don’t present myself as an authority or this as a definitive list. Rather, I’ve decided to take a risk and share my personal list to inspire the reader to wonder about theirs.

      My sailor-song list stems mostly from my younger years, long before boats were even on my RADAR, therefore, I came to realize while debating this list (with myself), boat bias wasn’t why I liked most of these songs. It was because they were catchy, popular, and accessible to an audience beyond sailors. They play literally or metaphorically on a long-standing historical and communal nautical mystique and psyche that even a landlubber with little boating experience could recognize and appreciate.

      Share

      I consider these sailor songs, not sailing songs. They have some personal meaning or experience tied to them. Since my relationship to music was more prominent earlier in life, my list centers on that era and is genre-specific, which coincided with my rock-and-roll lifestyle.

      Without further ado:

      1. The Wreck of the Edmond Fitzgerald (Gordon Lightfoot): A haunting dirge accompanying highly descriptive verse of a heart-wrenching event.

      When suppertime came, the old cook came on deck sayin’
      “Fellas, it’s too rough to feed ya”
      At 7 p.m., a main hatchway caved in, he said
      “Fellas, it’s been good to know ya”
      1. Southern Cross (Crosby, Stills, and Nash): Yacht rock? Absolutely. This song very much came to mind when I saw the constellation on my way to the South Seas on Sampaguita, a Pacific Seacraft Flicka 20. “Nineteen feet of waterline, nicely making way.”
      2. Home at Last (Steely Dan): At the time, the Odyssey reference (“I remain tied to the mast.”) was lost on me, but the imagery wasn’t. For a young, budding drummer of the 80s, this track demonstrates the legendary Purdie Shuffle by drummer Bernard Purdie. Smooth.
      3. Brandy (You’re a Fine Girl) (Looking Glass): Descriptive harbor bar imagery, sailor mystique, beauty and double-meaning to highlight one’s yearning for something one can’t (or shouldn’t) have.
      4. Beyond the Sea (Bobby Darin) The driving, prevalent drum track of Don Lamond is legendary and has stood the test of time. The two bombastic drum fills setting up the ensemble sections are textbook examples for a young drummer to “make the band want to play!”
      5. Sail On (Commodores): For one, the group’s name. It is a sappy song to start, but when it finally kicks into the bridge, it releases the tension like lines from the dock. “Good times never felt so good.” And what about those bongo rolls??!
           
        (Photo by Joshua Wheeler)
      6. Sail Away (David Gray): More sap, more metaphor, more mystique. This crooner captures a vibe of desire and yearning accessible to everyone. Keep It simple, stupid. No rocket or boat science, just very catchy.
      7. Sailor’s Tale (King Crimson): What? Who? Why? An instrumental off the album, Islands, this band redefined what a rock band could be to me as a young musician.
      8. I’m On a Boat (The Lonely Island): Let’s not take ourselves too seriously. This song is hilarious on many different fronts if you let it be. Poking fun at classes, stereotypes, race, language, and perceptions. I suppose you either love it or you hate it. (You might pass on listening to this if you are sensitive to salty language.)
      9. Rime of the Ancient Mariner (Iron Maiden): A bold and ambitious endeavor by an influential 80’s metal band, celebrating the prose of Samuel Taylor Coleridge. The classic Maiden gallop, Bruce Dickinson’s operatic-esque vocals of Cook and the Nelson-era inspired lyrics, remind us that the Age of Sail was not so romantic.

      YouTube playlist of my favorite sailor songs
      On Spotify: The Resourceful Sailor – My Favorite Sailor Songs


      Honorable Mentions

      1. The Ballad of Gilligan’s Isle (Sherwood Schwartz and George Wyle): I watched reruns of this show while eating after-school snacks before I had ever been on a boat or an island.
      2. The Irish Rover (Traditional): This is as close to an old-timey sea shanty as I get.
      3. Into the Mystic (Van Morrison): A crooner that somehow gets away with inserting five synth fog horns in one song. (The fifth is on the final note.)
      4. Tahitian Moon (Porno for Pyros): Sailing and boating themes were rare in 90s alternative rock.
      5. Cool Change (Little River Band): This direct message requires no imagination. If you know, you know.
      6. Firefly Main Title (Sonny Rhodes): For those who can imagine what sailing could mean in a far distant future.

      Boats and music are very personal things. Remember, keep your listening prudent and safe, and turn it up.

      Is that Sailor rock? “Turn it up!”

      Loose Cannon Adds

      1. Privateer (Mark Knoffler): This upbeat folk-rock ditty about an late 18th century British privateer, whose ship “is small but she can sting,” captures the sense of freedom and adventure that come with being young and standing on the deck of your own boat as she thunders over the ocean.
      2. If I Had a Boat (Lyle Lovett): This whimsical country-folk number, in which a cowboy dreams of going to sea with his pony, is about escaping from the strictures of adult life. It contains the great lines:
        The mystery masked man was smart.
        He got himself a Tonto
        ’Cause Tonto did the dirty work for free.
        But Tonto he was smarter
        And one day said, “Kemo Sabe, 
        Well, kiss my ass. I bought a boat.
        I’m going out to sea.

      LOOSE CANNON covers hard news, technical issues and nautical history. Every so often he tries to be funny. Subscribe for free to support the work. If you’ve been reading for a while—and you like it—consider upgrading to paid.

       

       

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    • Find Your Fall in Camden County, Dismal Swamp Canal Welcome Center


      Set in beautiful Camden Count, NC, the Dismal Swamp Canal Welcome Center provides free dockage for cruisers' on the Dismal Swamp AICW Alternate Route

      The Dismal Swamp Canal Welcome Center, a Salty Southeast Cruisers Net sponsor,  is a great place to visit any time. 

       
       

       
      There’s something special about fall in Camden County. 🍂 Whether you’re ready to wander quiet trails, explore local history, or simply refresh near the water, autumn is the perfect time to slow down and enjoy the season.
       
      Check out our latest blog for fun fall ideas & inside tips to enjoying fall in Camden County!
       
       
      See you soon!
       
       
       

      dismal logo

       

       

       Sarah Hill, TMP
      Director, Dismal Swamp Canal Welcome Center

      Chairperson, Camden County Tourism Development Authority

      2356 US Hwy 17 North, South Mills, NC 27976

      252-771-8333 | shill@camdencountync.gov
      www.DismalSwampWelcomeCenter.com

      www.VisitCamdenCountync.com

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      Public Records Law and may be disclosed to third parties by an authorized county official.

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    • South Carolina Shellfish Harvest Season Opens October 1C – SCDNR


       

       
      SCDNR color logo and South Carolina Department of Natural Resources in text on green background


      South Carolina Shellfish Harvest Season Opens October 1

      marsh

      FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: SEPTEMBER 24, 2026

      CHARLESTON, S.C. – The 2026-2027 season for recreational harvest of shellfish (clams and oysters) in South Carolina’s coastal waters will open one-half hour before official sunrise on Thursday, October 1, 2026. The recreational shellfish season will remain open through May 15, 2027, unless conditions warrant extending or shortening the season.

      In the event of a hurricane, major rain event or pollution spill, shellfish beds may be temporarily closed by the South Carolina Department of Environmental Services (SCDES, formerly SCDHEC). Harvesters should check with SCDES to verify whether any closures are in effect. Closure information is available by calling 1-800-285-1618 or through an interactive map on the SCDES website. SCDES will also use these resources and local newspapers throughout the year to announce temporary closures resulting from unusual rain events or spills.

      Recreational harvesting is permitted on all Public Shellfish Grounds and State Shellfish Grounds within areas of open or approved water quality, as noted on shellfish maps. Twenty Public and seven State Shellfish Grounds are managed exclusively for recreational gathering. An additional 58 State Shellfish Grounds are managed for both recreational and commercial harvest.

      Recreational harvesters should obtain updated Public or State Shellfish Ground maps at the beginning of each season, as areas open to harvest may change from year to year. Maps of designated harvest areas may be downloaded from the SCDNR website or accessed through the Recreational Map Web Application. Printed maps may also be obtained by calling (843) 953-9854 or writing to the Shellfish Management Section, Attn: Andy Hollis, SCDNR, PO Box 12559, Charleston, SC 29422-2559. When requesting maps, please specify the general area where you wish to harvest. Maps for the 2026-27 season will be available prior to the season opening on October 1, 2026.

      Recreational harvesters must have a Saltwater Recreational Fishing License, available from SCDNR, at many fishing supply stores and online. The recreational limit is two U.S. bushels of oysters and one-half bushel of clams per day, limited to two calendar days per seven-day period. One U.S. bushel is equal to eight gallons. There is a maximum possession limit of three personal limits per boat or vehicle. Clams must be at least one inch thick.

      Additional rules and restrictions may be found in the SCDNR Rules and Regulations, available where licenses are purchased or online.

      Commercial Shellfish Harvest

      Commercial harvest of shellfish requires a commercial saltwater license, mandatory harvester training, and other licenses and permits depending on where the harvest will occur. Call the Marine Permitting Office at 843-953-9301 (Option 4) for additional information on commercial harvesting requirements.

      Shellfish Season Best Practices

      • All harvesters are encouraged to “cull in place” by breaking off and leaving dead shell and smaller oysters on the shoreline, where they will continue to grow and provide habitat for other oysters. Only harvest clusters or singles of larger oysters.
      • If you enjoy eating oysters, remember to recycle your shells! Check online or call (843) 953-9397 to find locations near you where shell can be dropped off for recycling.
      • Please note that recycled shell placed in any SCDNR receptacle becomes South Carolina state property and is illegal to take. All shell collected by SCDNR is used to restore shellfish grounds in coastal South Carolina.

      Cheyenne Twilley

      Chief of Education, Outreach, and Information

      South Carolina Department of Natural Resources

      TwilleyC@dnr.sc.gov

      260 D. Epting Lane, West Columbia, SC 29172

       

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    • East Coast Storm moving slowly Northward – Fred Pickhardt


      Fred Pickhardt’s Substack is free today. But if you enjoyed this post, you can tell Fred Pickhardt’s Substack that their writing is valuable by pledging a future subscription. You won’t be charged unless they enable payments.

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      East Coast Storm moving slowly Northward

      First Significant Nor-Easter this Fall

       
       
       
       
       

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      A 995 storm low off the US Middle-Atlantic coast is moving slowly northward producing 40-50 knot winds and seas 5-9 meters (16-30 feet) within 240 nm northwest of the center.

         

      Gale warnings and Storm watches are in effect for offshore and coastal waters along the Mid-Atlantic coast along with coastal flood warnings for New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, and Virginia.

      NOAA Ocean Prediction Center

      NOAA High Seas Forecast

      NOAA Offshore Forecasts

      NOAA US Coastal Waters Forecasts

      Ocean Weather Services

      Forensic Marine Weather Expert

       

       

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    • Cruisers’ Net Weekly Newsletter – September 25, 2026

      Cruisers’ Net Newsletter for this week has just been emailed via Constant Contact.
       
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    • Atlantic Active, But Nothing Near SC – SCDNR


       

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